Vice President JD Vance holds a dominant position as the consensus leader for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination heading into late October, reflecting his role as the sitting vice president and consistent leads in national and early-state polling averages. Traders price other potential contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump Jr., and Tucker Carlson at low single digits for topping the odds on that date, consistent with their more distant polling support and limited recent momentum. Developments in September 2026, including early campaign positioning by senators like Ted Cruz and Rick Scott plus internal party discussions over policy direction, have not materially altered Vance's frontrunner status in prediction markets. Upcoming midterm election results and any shifts in administration alignments could still influence short-term odds movement before the October 31 snapshot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJD Vance 83%
Ron DeSantis 2.1%
Donald Trump Jr. 2.1%
Tucker Carlson 1.6%

JD Vance
83%

Marco Rubio
1%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Donald Trump Jr.
2%
JD Vance 83%
Ron DeSantis 2.1%
Donald Trump Jr. 2.1%
Tucker Carlson 1.6%

JD Vance
83%

Marco Rubio
1%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Tucker Carlson
2%

Donald Trump Jr.
2%
An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered.
If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Republican Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/gop-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. An option with no hourly odds value published in that period will not be considered.
If two or more options are tied for the highest value, the tie will be broken in favor of the tied option with the higher value in the most recent earlier window in which their values differed. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied option whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market if it is a listed outcome, and otherwise to "Other".
If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the options in the "2028 Republican Nomination" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/gop-nomination-2028.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Vice President JD Vance holds a dominant position as the consensus leader for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination heading into late October, reflecting his role as the sitting vice president and consistent leads in national and early-state polling averages. Traders price other potential contenders such as Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump Jr., and Tucker Carlson at low single digits for topping the odds on that date, consistent with their more distant polling support and limited recent momentum. Developments in September 2026, including early campaign positioning by senators like Ted Cruz and Rick Scott plus internal party discussions over policy direction, have not materially altered Vance's frontrunner status in prediction markets. Upcoming midterm election results and any shifts in administration alignments could still influence short-term odds movement before the October 31 snapshot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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