Trader consensus favors Republicans at 60.5% implied probability to hold Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's dominant fundraising—over $7.3 million raised and $6.5 million cash on hand through March 2026—along with endorsements from Donald Trump, Gov. Kim Reynolds, and retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Recent general election polls, including GQR (March 2026) showing Hinson leading Democrat Josh Turek 47%-43% and Zach Wahls 47%-44%, reinforce this edge in the red-leaning state, where forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican. With June 2 primaries approaching, Hinson appears positioned to secure the nomination over Jim Carlin, while Democrats face a competitive Wahls-Turek matchup amid small GOP leads in head-to-head surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$105,309 ปริมาณ
$105,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
61%
Democrat
40%
$105,309 ปริมาณ
$105,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$48,952 ปริมาณ
61%
Democrat
$56,357 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 60.5% implied probability to hold Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's dominant fundraising—over $7.3 million raised and $6.5 million cash on hand through March 2026—along with endorsements from Donald Trump, Gov. Kim Reynolds, and retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Recent general election polls, including GQR (March 2026) showing Hinson leading Democrat Josh Turek 47%-43% and Zach Wahls 47%-44%, reinforce this edge in the red-leaning state, where forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican. With June 2 primaries approaching, Hinson appears positioned to secure the nomination over Jim Carlin, while Democrats face a competitive Wahls-Turek matchup amid small GOP leads in head-to-head surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 60.5% implied probability to hold Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's dominant fundraising—over $7.3 million raised and $6.5 million cash on hand through March 2026—along with endorsements from Donald Trump, Gov. Kim Reynolds, and retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Recent general election polls, including GQR (March 2026) showing Hinson leading Democrat Josh Turek 47%-43% and Zach Wahls 47%-44%, reinforce this edge in the red-leaning state, where forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican. With June 2 primaries approaching, Hinson appears positioned to secure the nomination over Jim Carlin, while Democrats face a competitive Wahls-Turek matchup amid small GOP leads in head-to-head surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 60.5% implied probability to hold Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat in the November 2026 general election, driven by U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson's dominant fundraising—over $7.3 million raised and $6.5 million cash on hand through March 2026—along with endorsements from Donald Trump, Gov. Kim Reynolds, and retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Recent general election polls, including GQR (March 2026) showing Hinson leading Democrat Josh Turek 47%-43% and Zach Wahls 47%-44%, reinforce this edge in the red-leaning state, where forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican. With June 2 primaries approaching, Hinson appears positioned to secure the nomination over Jim Carlin, while Democrats face a competitive Wahls-Turek matchup amid small GOP leads in head-to-head surveys.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย