The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, created by Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms, underpins current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee at 61 percent. Primaries concluded June 2 with U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson securing the GOP nomination over Jim Carlin, while state Representative Josh Turek won the Democratic primary against Zach Wahls. Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide elections and voter registration patterns support the implied probability for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, though nominee selection and fall campaign dynamics could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$120,097 ปริมาณ
$120,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
61%
Democrat
40%
$120,097 ปริมาณ
$120,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$55,320 ปริมาณ
61%
Democrat
$64,777 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, created by Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms, underpins current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee at 61 percent. Primaries concluded June 2 with U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson securing the GOP nomination over Jim Carlin, while state Representative Josh Turek won the Democratic primary against Zach Wahls. Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide elections and voter registration patterns support the implied probability for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, though nominee selection and fall campaign dynamics could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, created by Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms, underpins current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee at 61 percent. Primaries concluded June 2 with U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson securing the GOP nomination over Jim Carlin, while state Representative Josh Turek won the Democratic primary against Zach Wahls. Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide elections and voter registration patterns support the implied probability for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, though nominee selection and fall campaign dynamics could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa, created by Republican incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms, underpins current trader consensus favoring a Republican nominee at 61 percent. Primaries concluded June 2 with U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson securing the GOP nomination over Jim Carlin, while state Representative Josh Turek won the Democratic primary against Zach Wahls. Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in recent statewide elections and voter registration patterns support the implied probability for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as leaning or likely Republican, though nominee selection and fall campaign dynamics could still shift outcomes before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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