Incumbent Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—R+13 partisan voter index—and his strong incumbency advantage as former governor, bolstered by a 62.6% special election win in 2024. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, trails in trader assessments despite tied polls like February's Impact Research survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), with Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican as of mid-April. Democrats languish at 4.4% after the state party opted against a serious contender, leaving a weak primary field ahead of the May 12 primaries. No major shifts in the past week, but GOP resources position Ricketts for likely renomination.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$103,251 ปริมาณ
$103,251 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
72%
Democrat
4%
$103,251 ปริมาณ
$103,251 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$43,890 ปริมาณ
72%
Democrat
$59,361 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—R+13 partisan voter index—and his strong incumbency advantage as former governor, bolstered by a 62.6% special election win in 2024. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, trails in trader assessments despite tied polls like February's Impact Research survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), with Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican as of mid-April. Democrats languish at 4.4% after the state party opted against a serious contender, leaving a weak primary field ahead of the May 12 primaries. No major shifts in the past week, but GOP resources position Ricketts for likely renomination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,251วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—R+13 partisan voter index—and his strong incumbency advantage as former governor, bolstered by a 62.6% special election win in 2024. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, trails in trader assessments despite tied polls like February's Impact Research survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), with Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican as of mid-April. Democrats languish at 4.4% after the state party opted against a serious contender, leaving a weak primary field ahead of the May 12 primaries. No major shifts in the past week, but GOP resources position Ricketts for likely renomination.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,251วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Pete Ricketts (R) leads trader consensus at 71.5% implied probability in Nebraska's U.S. Senate race, driven by the state's deep Republican lean—R+13 partisan voter index—and his strong incumbency advantage as former governor, bolstered by a 62.6% special election win in 2024. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Sen. Deb Fischer last cycle, trails in trader assessments despite tied polls like February's Impact Research survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), with Cook Political Report rating it Solid Republican as of mid-April. Democrats languish at 4.4% after the state party opted against a serious contender, leaving a weak primary field ahead of the May 12 primaries. No major shifts in the past week, but GOP resources position Ricketts for likely renomination.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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