NY-21's status as an open Republican-leaning seat in New York's North Country and Adirondack region underpins the 78% Republican consensus, following Elise Stefanik's departure. Primaries concluded June 23 with Anthony Constantino securing the GOP nomination over Robert Smullen and Blake Gendebien prevailing on the Democratic side, clarifying the November 3 general election matchup. The district's electoral math and historical voting patterns favor the Republican path to victory, while Democratic prospects remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent prediction market pricing aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$49,383 ปริมาณ
$49,383 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
22%
$49,383 ปริมาณ
$49,383 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$24,216 ปริมาณ
78%
Democratic Party
$25,167 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's status as an open Republican-leaning seat in New York's North Country and Adirondack region underpins the 78% Republican consensus, following Elise Stefanik's departure. Primaries concluded June 23 with Anthony Constantino securing the GOP nomination over Robert Smullen and Blake Gendebien prevailing on the Democratic side, clarifying the November 3 general election matchup. The district's electoral math and historical voting patterns favor the Republican path to victory, while Democratic prospects remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent prediction market pricing aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,383วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21's status as an open Republican-leaning seat in New York's North Country and Adirondack region underpins the 78% Republican consensus, following Elise Stefanik's departure. Primaries concluded June 23 with Anthony Constantino securing the GOP nomination over Robert Smullen and Blake Gendebien prevailing on the Democratic side, clarifying the November 3 general election matchup. The district's electoral math and historical voting patterns favor the Republican path to victory, while Democratic prospects remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent prediction market pricing aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,383วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21's status as an open Republican-leaning seat in New York's North Country and Adirondack region underpins the 78% Republican consensus, following Elise Stefanik's departure. Primaries concluded June 23 with Anthony Constantino securing the GOP nomination over Robert Smullen and Blake Gendebien prevailing on the Democratic side, clarifying the November 3 general election matchup. The district's electoral math and historical voting patterns favor the Republican path to victory, while Democratic prospects remain constrained absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent prediction market pricing aligns with these structural factors rather than short-term polling swings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย