NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, creating structural headwinds for Democratic prospects in the November general election. The open seat, following Elise Stefanik’s decision to pursue higher office, has produced competitive June 23 primaries, but Republican frontrunners benefit from the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Polling in the Republican primary shows a close contest between Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony Constantino and Assemblyman Robert Smullen, while the Democratic primary between Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell draws limited attention. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite absent major shifts before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$24,246 ปริมาณ
$24,246 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
19%
$24,246 ปริมาณ
$24,246 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,198 ปริมาณ
69%
Democratic Party
$10,048 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, creating structural headwinds for Democratic prospects in the November general election. The open seat, following Elise Stefanik’s decision to pursue higher office, has produced competitive June 23 primaries, but Republican frontrunners benefit from the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Polling in the Republican primary shows a close contest between Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony Constantino and Assemblyman Robert Smullen, while the Democratic primary between Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell draws limited attention. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,246วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, creating structural headwinds for Democratic prospects in the November general election. The open seat, following Elise Stefanik’s decision to pursue higher office, has produced competitive June 23 primaries, but Republican frontrunners benefit from the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Polling in the Republican primary shows a close contest between Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony Constantino and Assemblyman Robert Smullen, while the Democratic primary between Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell draws limited attention. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,246วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a solidly Republican district with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, creating structural headwinds for Democratic prospects in the November general election. The open seat, following Elise Stefanik’s decision to pursue higher office, has produced competitive June 23 primaries, but Republican frontrunners benefit from the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Polling in the Republican primary shows a close contest between Trump-endorsed businessman Anthony Constantino and Assemblyman Robert Smullen, while the Democratic primary between Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell draws limited attention. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the eventual Republican nominee as the clear favorite absent major shifts before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย