Raul Ruiz, the Democratic incumbent seeking an eighth term in California's 25th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Males and two other GOP candidates. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ruiz's established record, superior fundraising, and the district's voter registration edge have contributed to trader consensus favoring him at 95 percent. Males, a Hemet city council member, faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Republican in prior cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the November 3 general election outcome, though none have materialized to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-25 House Election Winner
CA-25 House Election Winner
$20,243 ปริมาณ
$20,243 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Raul Ruiz (D)
95%
Joe Males (R)
6%
$20,243 ปริมาณ
$20,243 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Raul Ruiz (D)
$12,910 ปริมาณ
95%
Joe Males (R)
$7,333 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Raul Ruiz, the Democratic incumbent seeking an eighth term in California's 25th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Males and two other GOP candidates. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ruiz's established record, superior fundraising, and the district's voter registration edge have contributed to trader consensus favoring him at 95 percent. Males, a Hemet city council member, faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Republican in prior cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the November 3 general election outcome, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,243วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Raul Ruiz, the Democratic incumbent seeking an eighth term in California's 25th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Males and two other GOP candidates. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ruiz's established record, superior fundraising, and the district's voter registration edge have contributed to trader consensus favoring him at 95 percent. Males, a Hemet city council member, faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Republican in prior cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the November 3 general election outcome, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,243วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Raul Ruiz, the Democratic incumbent seeking an eighth term in California's 25th congressional district, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Males and two other GOP candidates. The district carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings from forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ruiz's established record, superior fundraising, and the district's voter registration edge have contributed to trader consensus favoring him at 95 percent. Males, a Hemet city council member, faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Republican in prior cycles. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter the November 3 general election outcome, though none have materialized to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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