Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-27 House Election Winner
CA-27 House Election Winner
$13,566 ปริมาณ
$13,566 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$13,566 ปริมาณ
$13,566 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$7,951 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under California's Proposition 50 has shifted CA-27 into a D+6 district by adding Democratic-leaning areas in the northwest San Fernando Valley and removing Republican strongholds, establishing incumbent Democrat George Whitesides as the clear frontrunner against Republican Jason Gibbs. Whitesides flipped the seat in 2024 and advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Gibbs after consolidating most Democratic support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's new partisan voter index and the limited path for Republicans in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major national shifts, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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