Jess Wilson, leader of the Victorian Liberal Party and opposition since November 2025, leads the market at 63% as traders price in Coalition polling advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election. Recent DemosAU surveys show the Coalition ahead on a two-party preferred basis, with Wilson preferred as premier over incumbent Ben Carroll. Carroll assumed the Labor leadership and premiership on July 28, 2026, following Jacinta Allan’s resignation amid slumping approval ratings and caucus pressure over construction sector integrity concerns; his immediate moves included a royal commission into the industry. Lower-priced names such as Warren Pickering, Allan, and other Labor figures reflect limited expectations of shifts before the vote, consistent with the structural position of the opposition heading into the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Premier of Victoria
Next Premier of Victoria
Jess Wilson 63%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 11%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,577 ปริมาณ
$10,577 ปริมาณ
Jess Wilson
63%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
11%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
David Southwick
3%
James Newbury
<1%
Brad Battin
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
Jess Wilson 63%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 11%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,577 ปริมาณ
$10,577 ปริมาณ
Jess Wilson
63%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
11%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
David Southwick
3%
James Newbury
<1%
Brad Battin
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Jess Wilson, leader of the Victorian Liberal Party and opposition since November 2025, leads the market at 63% as traders price in Coalition polling advantages ahead of the November 28, 2026 state election. Recent DemosAU surveys show the Coalition ahead on a two-party preferred basis, with Wilson preferred as premier over incumbent Ben Carroll. Carroll assumed the Labor leadership and premiership on July 28, 2026, following Jacinta Allan’s resignation amid slumping approval ratings and caucus pressure over construction sector integrity concerns; his immediate moves included a royal commission into the industry. Lower-priced names such as Warren Pickering, Allan, and other Labor figures reflect limited expectations of shifts before the vote, consistent with the structural position of the opposition heading into the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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