Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with the Liberal–National Coalition, Labor and One Nation each attracting roughly 23–30 percent support ahead of the 28 November election. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has produced only marginal improvement in its standing, while One Nation’s consistent mid-20s share and the Coalition’s narrow two-party lead keep multiple parties in contention for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore assigns Labor the highest probability for second, with One Nation and the Coalition close behind. Further shifts in preference flows, late swings among undecided voters, or stronger regional performance by any of the three could quickly reorder the ranking before polling day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVictoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Labor 49%
One Nation 20.1%
Liberal–National 12.0%
Greens <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 28, 2026
Labor
49%
One Nation
20%
Liberal–National
12%
Greens
1%
Labor 49%
One Nation 20.1%
Liberal–National 12.0%
Greens <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 28, 2026
Labor
$1,740 ปริมาณ
49%
One Nation
$730 ปริมาณ
20%
Liberal–National
$749 ปริมาณ
12%
Greens
$424 ปริมาณ
1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with the Liberal–National Coalition, Labor and One Nation each attracting roughly 23–30 percent support ahead of the 28 November election. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has produced only marginal improvement in its standing, while One Nation’s consistent mid-20s share and the Coalition’s narrow two-party lead keep multiple parties in contention for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore assigns Labor the highest probability for second, with One Nation and the Coalition close behind. Further shifts in preference flows, late swings among undecided voters, or stronger regional performance by any of the three could quickly reorder the ranking before polling day.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,644วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with the Liberal–National Coalition, Labor and One Nation each attracting roughly 23–30 percent support ahead of the 28 November election. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has produced only marginal improvement in its standing, while One Nation’s consistent mid-20s share and the Coalition’s narrow two-party lead keep multiple parties in contention for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore assigns Labor the highest probability for second, with One Nation and the Coalition close behind. Further shifts in preference flows, late swings among undecided voters, or stronger regional performance by any of the three could quickly reorder the ranking before polling day.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,644วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with the Liberal–National Coalition, Labor and One Nation each attracting roughly 23–30 percent support ahead of the 28 November election. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Ben Carroll has produced only marginal improvement in its standing, while One Nation’s consistent mid-20s share and the Coalition’s narrow two-party lead keep multiple parties in contention for second place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices therefore assigns Labor the highest probability for second, with One Nation and the Coalition close behind. Further shifts in preference flows, late swings among undecided voters, or stronger regional performance by any of the three could quickly reorder the ranking before polling day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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