California's 26th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Julia Brownley's January 2026 retirement announcement, remains a Solid Democratic stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+15 based on recent presidential voting patterns and historical results where Democrats consistently exceed 55% in generals. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the district's Ventura County core demographics favoring incumbency advantages for the party, a weak Republican field, and California's top-two primary system likely advancing Democratic contenders to the November 3 general. No major shifts in the past 30 days; national environmental endorsements for Democratic candidate Chris Espinosa underscore party unity. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surprise, nominee scandal, or midterm turnout surge, though structural barriers favor Democrats. The June 2 primary looms as the next market catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$19,208 ปริมาณ
$19,208 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$19,208 ปริมาณ
$19,208 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,768 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$9,440 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Julia Brownley's January 2026 retirement announcement, remains a Solid Democratic stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+15 based on recent presidential voting patterns and historical results where Democrats consistently exceed 55% in generals. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the district's Ventura County core demographics favoring incumbency advantages for the party, a weak Republican field, and California's top-two primary system likely advancing Democratic contenders to the November 3 general. No major shifts in the past 30 days; national environmental endorsements for Democratic candidate Chris Espinosa underscore party unity. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surprise, nominee scandal, or midterm turnout surge, though structural barriers favor Democrats. The June 2 primary looms as the next market catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,208วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Julia Brownley's January 2026 retirement announcement, remains a Solid Democratic stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+15 based on recent presidential voting patterns and historical results where Democrats consistently exceed 55% in generals. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the district's Ventura County core demographics favoring incumbency advantages for the party, a weak Republican field, and California's top-two primary system likely advancing Democratic contenders to the November 3 general. No major shifts in the past 30 days; national environmental endorsements for Democratic candidate Chris Espinosa underscore party unity. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surprise, nominee scandal, or midterm turnout surge, though structural barriers favor Democrats. The June 2 primary looms as the next market catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,208วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th Congressional District, an open seat following Rep. Julia Brownley's January 2026 retirement announcement, remains a Solid Democratic stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+15 based on recent presidential voting patterns and historical results where Democrats consistently exceed 55% in generals. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5%, reflecting the district's Ventura County core demographics favoring incumbency advantages for the party, a weak Republican field, and California's top-two primary system likely advancing Democratic contenders to the November 3 general. No major shifts in the past 30 days; national environmental endorsements for Democratic candidate Chris Espinosa underscore party unity. Upsets could arise from a GOP primary surprise, nominee scandal, or midterm turnout surge, though structural barriers favor Democrats. The June 2 primary looms as the next market catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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