Trader consensus prices an 81% implied probability on the Republican Party winning South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's two-decade tenure and the district's solid GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—despite Cook Political Report noting general election competitiveness. Democratic Party odds languish at 15.5% amid weak historical performance, even after the South Carolina Democratic Party's March 31 announcement of a full slate including Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II following the March 30 filing deadline. Near-par pricing for A (49.5%), B (50.0%), and Other (50.5%) highlights uncertainty in the GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$22,152 ปริมาณ
$22,152 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$22,152 ปริมาณ
$22,152 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,057 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$14,096 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices an 81% implied probability on the Republican Party winning South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's two-decade tenure and the district's solid GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—despite Cook Political Report noting general election competitiveness. Democratic Party odds languish at 15.5% amid weak historical performance, even after the South Carolina Democratic Party's March 31 announcement of a full slate including Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II following the March 30 filing deadline. Near-par pricing for A (49.5%), B (50.0%), and Other (50.5%) highlights uncertainty in the GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,152วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices an 81% implied probability on the Republican Party winning South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's two-decade tenure and the district's solid GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—despite Cook Political Report noting general election competitiveness. Democratic Party odds languish at 15.5% amid weak historical performance, even after the South Carolina Democratic Party's March 31 announcement of a full slate including Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II following the March 30 filing deadline. Near-par pricing for A (49.5%), B (50.0%), and Other (50.5%) highlights uncertainty in the GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,152วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices an 81% implied probability on the Republican Party winning South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Rep. Joe Wilson's two-decade tenure and the district's solid GOP lean—Trump carried it by 14 points in 2024—despite Cook Political Report noting general election competitiveness. Democratic Party odds languish at 15.5% amid weak historical performance, even after the South Carolina Democratic Party's March 31 announcement of a full slate including Zyon Khalifa and David Robinson II following the March 30 filing deadline. Near-par pricing for A (49.5%), B (50.0%), and Other (50.5%) highlights uncertainty in the GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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