South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 88 percent implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced from a competitive primary runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the general election contest on November 3 with limited volatility. Market pricing for alternative outcomes reflects the low likelihood of an upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-02 House Election Winner
$38,784 ปริมาณ
$38,784 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$38,784 ปริมาณ
$38,784 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin. The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results underpin trader pricing that places the Republican nominee at 88 percent implied probability. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa advanced from a competitive primary runoff but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the race since the primaries concluded, leaving the general election contest on November 3 with limited volatility. Market pricing for alternative outcomes reflects the low likelihood of an upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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