Incumbent Brendan Boyle's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The Northeast Philadelphia-based seat has delivered Boyle general election margins above 70% since 2018, bolstered by nearly $5 million in cash on hand as of late March. With the May 19 primary approaching, Boyle faces no active challengers after Salem Snow's withdrawal, while Republican Jessica Arriaga reports zero fundraising. Absent a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, the structural barriers remain high for a GOP upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$16,335 ปริมาณ
$16,335 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$16,335 ปริมาณ
$16,335 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,224 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$14,111 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brendan Boyle's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The Northeast Philadelphia-based seat has delivered Boyle general election margins above 70% since 2018, bolstered by nearly $5 million in cash on hand as of late March. With the May 19 primary approaching, Boyle faces no active challengers after Salem Snow's withdrawal, while Republican Jessica Arriaga reports zero fundraising. Absent a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, the structural barriers remain high for a GOP upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,335วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brendan Boyle's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The Northeast Philadelphia-based seat has delivered Boyle general election margins above 70% since 2018, bolstered by nearly $5 million in cash on hand as of late March. With the May 19 primary approaching, Boyle faces no active challengers after Salem Snow's withdrawal, while Republican Jessica Arriaga reports zero fundraising. Absent a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, the structural barriers remain high for a GOP upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,335วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brendan Boyle's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic hold at 94.5%. The Northeast Philadelphia-based seat has delivered Boyle general election margins above 70% since 2018, bolstered by nearly $5 million in cash on hand as of late March. With the May 19 primary approaching, Boyle faces no active challengers after Salem Snow's withdrawal, while Republican Jessica Arriaga reports zero fundraising. Absent a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics, the structural barriers remain high for a GOP upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย