The Philadelphia-based PA-02 district's pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored by consistent strong performance in urban core precincts, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general against Republican Jessica Arriaga with a substantial fundraising edge and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and limited competitive history. A realistic shift in odds would require developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal or health event affecting Boyle, or unusually high turnout mobilization by the challenger—none of which have materialized in recent polling or campaign finance data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$24,116 ปริมาณ
$24,116 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$24,116 ปริมาณ
$24,116 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,804 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$18,312 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Philadelphia-based PA-02 district's pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored by consistent strong performance in urban core precincts, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general against Republican Jessica Arriaga with a substantial fundraising edge and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and limited competitive history. A realistic shift in odds would require developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal or health event affecting Boyle, or unusually high turnout mobilization by the challenger—none of which have materialized in recent polling or campaign finance data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Philadelphia-based PA-02 district's pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored by consistent strong performance in urban core precincts, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general against Republican Jessica Arriaga with a substantial fundraising edge and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and limited competitive history. A realistic shift in odds would require developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal or health event affecting Boyle, or unusually high turnout mobilization by the challenger—none of which have materialized in recent polling or campaign finance data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Philadelphia-based PA-02 district's pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored by consistent strong performance in urban core precincts, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general against Republican Jessica Arriaga with a substantial fundraising edge and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in prior cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the district's partisan composition and limited competitive history. A realistic shift in odds would require developments such as an unforeseen national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal or health event affecting Boyle, or unusually high turnout mobilization by the challenger—none of which have materialized in recent polling or campaign finance data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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