**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index of R+5 and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Van Drew advanced unopposed through the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a South Jersey district that has favored his party since his 2019 switch from Democrat. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, won his June 2 primary with 39.8% against three opponents but faces structural challenges in a district that voted for the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle. Limited public polling and modest Democratic investment in the race to date have left the outcome largely aligned with historical voting patterns and base turnout expectations. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor in current assessments. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late-cycle national environment shifts remain the primary variables that could influence trader views before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$26,980 ปริมาณ
$26,980 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
14%
$26,980 ปริมาณ
$26,980 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jeff Van Drew (R)
$13,622 ปริมาณ
84%
Zack Mullock (D)
$13,358 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index of R+5 and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Van Drew advanced unopposed through the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a South Jersey district that has favored his party since his 2019 switch from Democrat.
Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, won his June 2 primary with 39.8% against three opponents but faces structural challenges in a district that voted for the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle. Limited public polling and modest Democratic investment in the race to date have left the outcome largely aligned with historical voting patterns and base turnout expectations. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor in current assessments. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late-cycle national environment shifts remain the primary variables that could influence trader views before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,980วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index of R+5 and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Van Drew advanced unopposed through the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a South Jersey district that has favored his party since his 2019 switch from Democrat.
Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, won his June 2 primary with 39.8% against three opponents but faces structural challenges in a district that voted for the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle. Limited public polling and modest Democratic investment in the race to date have left the outcome largely aligned with historical voting patterns and base turnout expectations. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor in current assessments. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late-cycle national environment shifts remain the primary variables that could influence trader views before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,980วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index of R+5 and its consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Van Drew advanced unopposed through the June 2 Republican primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a South Jersey district that has favored his party since his 2019 switch from Democrat. Democratic nominee Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, won his June 2 primary with 39.8% against three opponents but faces structural challenges in a district that voted for the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in the prior cycle. Limited public polling and modest Democratic investment in the race to date have left the outcome largely aligned with historical voting patterns and base turnout expectations. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor in current assessments. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late-cycle national environment shifts remain the primary variables that could influence trader views before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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