Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's dominant position in New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean and Trump carrying it by 13 points, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Van Drew, unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, holds a commanding fundraising lead with $1.35 million cash on hand as of March 31, compared to top Democratic challengers' totals under $300,000. The fragmented four-way Democratic primary—featuring civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, activist Terri Reese, and former USAID official Bayly Winder—dilutes opposition resources following the March 23 filing deadline, mirroring Van Drew's easy reelections in 2024 (58%) and 2022 (59%). No recent polling shifts odds, with primary outcome as next key catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$11,448 ปริมาณ
$11,448 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$11,448 ปริมาณ
$11,448 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,548 ปริมาณ
74%
Democratic Party
$5,900 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's dominant position in New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean and Trump carrying it by 13 points, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Van Drew, unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, holds a commanding fundraising lead with $1.35 million cash on hand as of March 31, compared to top Democratic challengers' totals under $300,000. The fragmented four-way Democratic primary—featuring civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, activist Terri Reese, and former USAID official Bayly Winder—dilutes opposition resources following the March 23 filing deadline, mirroring Van Drew's easy reelections in 2024 (58%) and 2022 (59%). No recent polling shifts odds, with primary outcome as next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,448วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's dominant position in New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean and Trump carrying it by 13 points, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Van Drew, unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, holds a commanding fundraising lead with $1.35 million cash on hand as of March 31, compared to top Democratic challengers' totals under $300,000. The fragmented four-way Democratic primary—featuring civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, activist Terri Reese, and former USAID official Bayly Winder—dilutes opposition resources following the March 23 filing deadline, mirroring Van Drew's easy reelections in 2024 (58%) and 2022 (59%). No recent polling shifts odds, with primary outcome as next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,448วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew's dominant position in New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean and Trump carrying it by 13 points, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election. Van Drew, unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary, holds a commanding fundraising lead with $1.35 million cash on hand as of March 31, compared to top Democratic challengers' totals under $300,000. The fragmented four-way Democratic primary—featuring civil rights attorney Tim Alexander, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock, activist Terri Reese, and former USAID official Bayly Winder—dilutes opposition resources following the March 23 filing deadline, mirroring Van Drew's easy reelections in 2024 (58%) and 2022 (59%). No recent polling shifts odds, with primary outcome as next key catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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