**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$15,753 ปริมาณ
$15,753 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
30%
$15,753 ปริมาณ
$15,753 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,219 ปริมาณ
70%
Democratic Party
$7,534 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,753วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,753วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The southern New Jersey seat carries an R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and favored Donald Trump by 13 points in 2024, providing a structural advantage reinforced by Van Drew’s 58% reelection that year. Van Drew, a four-term representative who switched from the Democratic Party, faced no primary opposition, while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock emerged from the June 2 Democratic primary to become the nominee. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and the challenges facing challengers in such terrain. Traders price the Republican outcome near 70% because these fundamentals have shown durability in recent cycles, though the general election remains months away and could shift with broader national conditions or turnout patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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