Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone advanced from the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 6th district after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig secured her party’s nomination in an uncontested primary. The seat’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in voter registration advantages, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 or higher, and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles—underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries further support the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
$18,309 ปริมาณ
$18,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
3%
$18,309 ปริมาณ
$18,309 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,080 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$11,229 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone advanced from the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 6th district after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig secured her party’s nomination in an uncontested primary. The seat’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in voter registration advantages, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 or higher, and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles—underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries further support the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone advanced from the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 6th district after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig secured her party’s nomination in an uncontested primary. The seat’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in voter registration advantages, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 or higher, and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles—underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries further support the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,309วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone advanced from the June 2 primary in New Jersey’s 6th district after defeating two challengers, while Republican Hillary Herzig secured her party’s nomination in an uncontested primary. The seat’s strong Democratic lean—reflected in voter registration advantages, a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 or higher, and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles—underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Pallone’s long tenure since 1988, established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries further support the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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