Recent polling and the June 2 Democratic primary have positioned Rebecca Bennett as the clear frontrunner in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, defeated three opponents to secure the nomination, while Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. advanced unopposed. Multiple May surveys showed Bennett ahead by margins of three to twenty-one points in the toss-up rated district that President Trump carried by one point in 2024. Kean’s extended medical absence from Congress has further shaped assessments of the race, which features standard midterm dynamics in a competitive suburban and rural seat. Upcoming general-election developments through November could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-07 House Election Winner
NJ-07 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$466 ปริมาณ
74%
Republican Party
$3,727 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and the June 2 Democratic primary have positioned Rebecca Bennett as the clear frontrunner in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, defeated three opponents to secure the nomination, while Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. advanced unopposed. Multiple May surveys showed Bennett ahead by margins of three to twenty-one points in the toss-up rated district that President Trump carried by one point in 2024. Kean’s extended medical absence from Congress has further shaped assessments of the race, which features standard midterm dynamics in a competitive suburban and rural seat. Upcoming general-election developments through November could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,193วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and the June 2 Democratic primary have positioned Rebecca Bennett as the clear frontrunner in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, defeated three opponents to secure the nomination, while Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. advanced unopposed. Multiple May surveys showed Bennett ahead by margins of three to twenty-one points in the toss-up rated district that President Trump carried by one point in 2024. Kean’s extended medical absence from Congress has further shaped assessments of the race, which features standard midterm dynamics in a competitive suburban and rural seat. Upcoming general-election developments through November could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,193วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and the June 2 Democratic primary have positioned Rebecca Bennett as the clear frontrunner in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, where trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 72.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, defeated three opponents to secure the nomination, while Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. advanced unopposed. Multiple May surveys showed Bennett ahead by margins of three to twenty-one points in the toss-up rated district that President Trump carried by one point in 2024. Kean’s extended medical absence from Congress has further shaped assessments of the race, which features standard midterm dynamics in a competitive suburban and rural seat. Upcoming general-election developments through November could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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