The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 8th congressional district, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with incumbent Rob Menendez’s recent primary victory and the absence of a competitive Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Menendez secured renomination on June 2 against a progressive challenger amid consistent historical double-digit margins in the seat. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent candidate surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-cycle national shifts altering local dynamics before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
$11,214 ปริมาณ
$11,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$11,214 ปริมาณ
$11,214 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,159 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$5,055 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 8th congressional district, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with incumbent Rob Menendez’s recent primary victory and the absence of a competitive Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Menendez secured renomination on June 2 against a progressive challenger amid consistent historical double-digit margins in the seat. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent candidate surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-cycle national shifts altering local dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 8th congressional district, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with incumbent Rob Menendez’s recent primary victory and the absence of a competitive Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Menendez secured renomination on June 2 against a progressive challenger amid consistent historical double-digit margins in the seat. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent candidate surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-cycle national shifts altering local dynamics before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,214วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey’s 8th congressional district, rated D+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with incumbent Rob Menendez’s recent primary victory and the absence of a competitive Republican nominee, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Menendez secured renomination on June 2 against a progressive challenger amid consistent historical double-digit margins in the seat. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent candidate surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or late-cycle national shifts altering local dynamics before the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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