Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in the latest cycle under Governor Ron DeSantis, now carries a Republican lean with a partisan voting index around R+4 and Trump carrying the lines by roughly 10 points in 2024. The open seat—vacated after Lois Frankel shifted to the neighboring 23rd—has drawn targeting from both the NRCC and DCCC, yet forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican. Primaries concluded August 18 with Casey Askar emerging as the GOP nominee and Pia Dandiya as the Democratic standard-bearer, narrowing the contest to two self-funded candidates in a November 3 general. Trader consensus favoring Republicans reflects the post-redistricting electoral math and historical base rates for similar open seats, while Democratic chances rest on turnout in Broward and Palm Beach portions and any late-cycle national environment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$40,334 ปริมาณ
$40,334 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
42%
$40,334 ปริมาณ
$40,334 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,810 ปริมาณ
56%
Democratic Party
$17,525 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in the latest cycle under Governor Ron DeSantis, now carries a Republican lean with a partisan voting index around R+4 and Trump carrying the lines by roughly 10 points in 2024. The open seat—vacated after Lois Frankel shifted to the neighboring 23rd—has drawn targeting from both the NRCC and DCCC, yet forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican. Primaries concluded August 18 with Casey Askar emerging as the GOP nominee and Pia Dandiya as the Democratic standard-bearer, narrowing the contest to two self-funded candidates in a November 3 general. Trader consensus favoring Republicans reflects the post-redistricting electoral math and historical base rates for similar open seats, while Democratic chances rest on turnout in Broward and Palm Beach portions and any late-cycle national environment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,334วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in the latest cycle under Governor Ron DeSantis, now carries a Republican lean with a partisan voting index around R+4 and Trump carrying the lines by roughly 10 points in 2024. The open seat—vacated after Lois Frankel shifted to the neighboring 23rd—has drawn targeting from both the NRCC and DCCC, yet forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican. Primaries concluded August 18 with Casey Askar emerging as the GOP nominee and Pia Dandiya as the Democratic standard-bearer, narrowing the contest to two self-funded candidates in a November 3 general. Trader consensus favoring Republicans reflects the post-redistricting electoral math and historical base rates for similar open seats, while Democratic chances rest on turnout in Broward and Palm Beach portions and any late-cycle national environment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,334วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in the latest cycle under Governor Ron DeSantis, now carries a Republican lean with a partisan voting index around R+4 and Trump carrying the lines by roughly 10 points in 2024. The open seat—vacated after Lois Frankel shifted to the neighboring 23rd—has drawn targeting from both the NRCC and DCCC, yet forecasters rate it Lean or Tilt Republican. Primaries concluded August 18 with Casey Askar emerging as the GOP nominee and Pia Dandiya as the Democratic standard-bearer, narrowing the contest to two self-funded candidates in a November 3 general. Trader consensus favoring Republicans reflects the post-redistricting electoral math and historical base rates for similar open seats, while Democratic chances rest on turnout in Broward and Palm Beach portions and any late-cycle national environment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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