**Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's stronghold in Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid R with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.** Mast, an Afghan War veteran newly tapped to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee, faces no announced Republican primary challengers as the April 24 filing deadline approaches, bolstering his renomination odds for the August 18 primaries. Democratic recruitment has intensified with Pia Dandiya's $410,000 first-quarter fundraising haul reported three days ago and an EMILY's List endorsement, yet these developments have failed to erode the district's entrenched Republican lean or Mast's proven incumbency edge from his dominant 2024 win. Statewide polls indicate Democratic gains in Florida, but FL-21's fundamentals keep GOP traders confident.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,792 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$2,607 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's stronghold in Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid R with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.** Mast, an Afghan War veteran newly tapped to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee, faces no announced Republican primary challengers as the April 24 filing deadline approaches, bolstering his renomination odds for the August 18 primaries. Democratic recruitment has intensified with Pia Dandiya's $410,000 first-quarter fundraising haul reported three days ago and an EMILY's List endorsement, yet these developments have failed to erode the district's entrenched Republican lean or Mast's proven incumbency edge from his dominant 2024 win. Statewide polls indicate Democratic gains in Florida, but FL-21's fundamentals keep GOP traders confident.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,399วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's stronghold in Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid R with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.** Mast, an Afghan War veteran newly tapped to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee, faces no announced Republican primary challengers as the April 24 filing deadline approaches, bolstering his renomination odds for the August 18 primaries. Democratic recruitment has intensified with Pia Dandiya's $410,000 first-quarter fundraising haul reported three days ago and an EMILY's List endorsement, yet these developments have failed to erode the district's entrenched Republican lean or Mast's proven incumbency edge from his dominant 2024 win. Statewide polls indicate Democratic gains in Florida, but FL-21's fundamentals keep GOP traders confident.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,399วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Brian Mast's stronghold in Florida's 21st Congressional District, rated Solid R with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index, drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 84.5% implied probability ahead of the November 2026 general election.** Mast, an Afghan War veteran newly tapped to chair the House Foreign Affairs Committee, faces no announced Republican primary challengers as the April 24 filing deadline approaches, bolstering his renomination odds for the August 18 primaries. Democratic recruitment has intensified with Pia Dandiya's $410,000 first-quarter fundraising haul reported three days ago and an EMILY's List endorsement, yet these developments have failed to erode the district's entrenched Republican lean or Mast's proven incumbency edge from his dominant 2024 win. Statewide polls indicate Democratic gains in Florida, but FL-21's fundamentals keep GOP traders confident.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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