Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 1st Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided GOP wins, including Patronis' 15-point special election victory over Democrat Gay Valimont in April 2025. Recent campaign finance reports through March 31, 2026, show Patronis' $3 million in receipts and $507,000 cash-on-hand dwarfing rivals in the crowded August 18 Republican primary, while ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball remain Solid/Safe Republican as of mid-April. Valimont, running for a third time after 34% in 2024 and 42% in the special, launched an attack ad on April 1 but faces steep structural barriers. Upsets would require a primary scandal toppling Patronis, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen legal issues before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-01 House Election Winner
FL-01 House Election Winner
$87,763 ปริมาณ
$87,763 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$87,763 ปริมาณ
$87,763 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$69,037 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$18,726 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 1st Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided GOP wins, including Patronis' 15-point special election victory over Democrat Gay Valimont in April 2025. Recent campaign finance reports through March 31, 2026, show Patronis' $3 million in receipts and $507,000 cash-on-hand dwarfing rivals in the crowded August 18 Republican primary, while ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball remain Solid/Safe Republican as of mid-April. Valimont, running for a third time after 34% in 2024 and 42% in the special, launched an attack ad on April 1 but faces steep structural barriers. Upsets would require a primary scandal toppling Patronis, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen legal issues before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,763วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 1st Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided GOP wins, including Patronis' 15-point special election victory over Democrat Gay Valimont in April 2025. Recent campaign finance reports through March 31, 2026, show Patronis' $3 million in receipts and $507,000 cash-on-hand dwarfing rivals in the crowded August 18 Republican primary, while ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball remain Solid/Safe Republican as of mid-April. Valimont, running for a third time after 34% in 2024 and 42% in the special, launched an attack ad on April 1 but faces steep structural barriers. Upsets would require a primary scandal toppling Patronis, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen legal issues before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$87,763วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 1st Congressional District House race, anchored by the district's R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided GOP wins, including Patronis' 15-point special election victory over Democrat Gay Valimont in April 2025. Recent campaign finance reports through March 31, 2026, show Patronis' $3 million in receipts and $507,000 cash-on-hand dwarfing rivals in the crowded August 18 Republican primary, while ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball remain Solid/Safe Republican as of mid-April. Valimont, running for a third time after 34% in 2024 and 42% in the special, launched an attack ad on April 1 but faces steep structural barriers. Upsets would require a primary scandal toppling Patronis, a national Democratic wave, or unforeseen legal issues before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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