Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York's 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district, covering portions of Suffolk County on Long Island, has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing reelection by a comfortable margin in 2024. Both parties' primaries are set for June 23, with no significant primary challenges reported. Limited polling and fundraising data show the Republican holding a structural edge typical of the seat's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party reflects these baseline factors, while the Democratic share at 27% accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or turnout changes before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,829 ปริมาณ
74%
Democratic Party
$5,936 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York's 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district, covering portions of Suffolk County on Long Island, has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing reelection by a comfortable margin in 2024. Both parties' primaries are set for June 23, with no significant primary challenges reported. Limited polling and fundraising data show the Republican holding a structural edge typical of the seat's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party reflects these baseline factors, while the Democratic share at 27% accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or turnout changes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,764วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York's 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district, covering portions of Suffolk County on Long Island, has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing reelection by a comfortable margin in 2024. Both parties' primaries are set for June 23, with no significant primary challenges reported. Limited polling and fundraising data show the Republican holding a structural edge typical of the seat's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party reflects these baseline factors, while the Democratic share at 27% accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or turnout changes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,764วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino faces Democrat Patrick Halpin in New York's 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district, covering portions of Suffolk County on Long Island, has leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Garbarino securing reelection by a comfortable margin in 2024. Both parties' primaries are set for June 23, with no significant primary challenges reported. Limited polling and fundraising data show the Republican holding a structural edge typical of the seat's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 73.5% for the Republican Party reflects these baseline factors, while the Democratic share at 27% accounts for the possibility of national midterm shifts or turnout changes before November.
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