Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a commanding position in New York's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring him over Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin. The district, anchored in Suffolk County on Long Island's South Shore, carries a Republican lean reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Garbarino advanced without primary opposition after the June 23 contest was canceled, while Halpin cleared a similarly uncontested Democratic primary following disqualifications of other filers. Fundraising data through June shows Garbarino with a substantial edge in receipts and cash on hand, underscoring resource advantages typical in such races. Historical results, including Garbarino's 2024 reelection margin, further align with the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,675 ปริมาณ
$17,675 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
14%
$17,675 ปริมาณ
$17,675 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
$7,134 ปริมาณ
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
$10,541 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a commanding position in New York's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring him over Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin. The district, anchored in Suffolk County on Long Island's South Shore, carries a Republican lean reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Garbarino advanced without primary opposition after the June 23 contest was canceled, while Halpin cleared a similarly uncontested Democratic primary following disqualifications of other filers. Fundraising data through June shows Garbarino with a substantial edge in receipts and cash on hand, underscoring resource advantages typical in such races. Historical results, including Garbarino's 2024 reelection margin, further align with the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,675วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a commanding position in New York's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring him over Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin. The district, anchored in Suffolk County on Long Island's South Shore, carries a Republican lean reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Garbarino advanced without primary opposition after the June 23 contest was canceled, while Halpin cleared a similarly uncontested Democratic primary following disqualifications of other filers. Fundraising data through June shows Garbarino with a substantial edge in receipts and cash on hand, underscoring resource advantages typical in such races. Historical results, including Garbarino's 2024 reelection margin, further align with the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,675วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a commanding position in New York's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with trader consensus favoring him over Democratic nominee Patrick Halpin. The district, anchored in Suffolk County on Long Island's South Shore, carries a Republican lean reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Garbarino advanced without primary opposition after the June 23 contest was canceled, while Halpin cleared a similarly uncontested Democratic primary following disqualifications of other filers. Fundraising data through June shows Garbarino with a substantial edge in receipts and cash on hand, underscoring resource advantages typical in such races. Historical results, including Garbarino's 2024 reelection margin, further align with the current implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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