New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Donald Norcross's 2024 re-election with 57.8 percent of the vote. Norcross advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo and minor independent candidates lack comparable fundraising, name recognition, or organizational infrastructure. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's voter registration edge, suburban Philadelphia demographics, and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, ethics issue, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-01 House Election Winner
NJ-01 House Election Winner
$22,251 ปริมาณ
$22,251 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$22,251 ปริมาณ
$22,251 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,124 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,127 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Donald Norcross's 2024 re-election with 57.8 percent of the vote. Norcross advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo and minor independent candidates lack comparable fundraising, name recognition, or organizational infrastructure. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's voter registration edge, suburban Philadelphia demographics, and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, ethics issue, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,251วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Donald Norcross's 2024 re-election with 57.8 percent of the vote. Norcross advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo and minor independent candidates lack comparable fundraising, name recognition, or organizational infrastructure. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's voter registration edge, suburban Philadelphia demographics, and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, ethics issue, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,251วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Donald Norcross's 2024 re-election with 57.8 percent of the vote. Norcross advanced through the June 2026 Democratic primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Damon Galdo and minor independent candidates lack comparable fundraising, name recognition, or organizational infrastructure. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's voter registration edge, suburban Philadelphia demographics, and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as an incumbent retirement, ethics issue, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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