The suburban Philadelphia swing district's competitive dynamics keep the PA-01 contest tight, with Democratic nominee Bob Harvie holding a slim 52.5% implied probability edge over incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick at 47%. Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has long enabled overperformance in Bucks County suburbs, while recent polling shows Harvie closing ground after securing the Democratic nomination in the May primary. National midterm trends, candidate fundraising momentum, and voter priorities on economic issues and federal policy could shift margins, as could turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this battleground seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
53%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,156 ปริมาณ
39%
Democratic Party
$795 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The suburban Philadelphia swing district's competitive dynamics keep the PA-01 contest tight, with Democratic nominee Bob Harvie holding a slim 52.5% implied probability edge over incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick at 47%. Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has long enabled overperformance in Bucks County suburbs, while recent polling shows Harvie closing ground after securing the Democratic nomination in the May primary. National midterm trends, candidate fundraising momentum, and voter priorities on economic issues and federal policy could shift margins, as could turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,951วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The suburban Philadelphia swing district's competitive dynamics keep the PA-01 contest tight, with Democratic nominee Bob Harvie holding a slim 52.5% implied probability edge over incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick at 47%. Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has long enabled overperformance in Bucks County suburbs, while recent polling shows Harvie closing ground after securing the Democratic nomination in the May primary. National midterm trends, candidate fundraising momentum, and voter priorities on economic issues and federal policy could shift margins, as could turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,951วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The suburban Philadelphia swing district's competitive dynamics keep the PA-01 contest tight, with Democratic nominee Bob Harvie holding a slim 52.5% implied probability edge over incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick at 47%. Fitzpatrick's moderate voting record has long enabled overperformance in Bucks County suburbs, while recent polling shows Harvie closing ground after securing the Democratic nomination in the May primary. National midterm trends, candidate fundraising momentum, and voter priorities on economic issues and federal policy could shift margins, as could turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this battleground seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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