Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in the Maine 1st congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, underpins trader consensus alongside Pingree's long incumbency since 2008 and her 58.1% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no primary challenge emerging for her in June 2026 and Republican nominee Ronald Russell facing the same structural barriers that have prevented GOP success in the seat since 1994. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$45,006 ปริมาณ
$45,006 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$45,006 ปริมาณ
$45,006 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,105 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$14,900 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in the Maine 1st congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, underpins trader consensus alongside Pingree's long incumbency since 2008 and her 58.1% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no primary challenge emerging for her in June 2026 and Republican nominee Ronald Russell facing the same structural barriers that have prevented GOP success in the seat since 1994. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,006วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in the Maine 1st congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, underpins trader consensus alongside Pingree's long incumbency since 2008 and her 58.1% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no primary challenge emerging for her in June 2026 and Republican nominee Ronald Russell facing the same structural barriers that have prevented GOP success in the seat since 1994. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,006วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree holds a commanding lead in the Maine 1st congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party. The district's consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, underpins trader consensus alongside Pingree's long incumbency since 2008 and her 58.1% victory in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no primary challenge emerging for her in June 2026 and Republican nominee Ronald Russell facing the same structural barriers that have prevented GOP success in the seat since 1994. A late national political shift, unexpected scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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