Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report and Safe R by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 80% for the Republican Party. The district's R+11 partisan voting index, combined with Fitzgerald's consistent 64% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Democratic challengers, underscores his path to victory ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Democrats, featuring 2024 nominee Ben Steinhoff and Andrew Beck in their primary, trail with minimal fundraising—Fitzgerald holds $1.46 million cash on hand per March 31 reports—limiting competitiveness to 12.5% implied probability despite a recent statewide liberal Supreme Court win that showed limited local impact.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-05 House Election Winner
WI-05 House Election Winner
$11,096 ปริมาณ
$11,096 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,096 ปริมาณ
$11,096 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,920 ปริมาณ
82%
Democratic Party
$3,176 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report and Safe R by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 80% for the Republican Party. The district's R+11 partisan voting index, combined with Fitzgerald's consistent 64% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Democratic challengers, underscores his path to victory ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Democrats, featuring 2024 nominee Ben Steinhoff and Andrew Beck in their primary, trail with minimal fundraising—Fitzgerald holds $1.46 million cash on hand per March 31 reports—limiting competitiveness to 12.5% implied probability despite a recent statewide liberal Supreme Court win that showed limited local impact.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,096วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report and Safe R by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 80% for the Republican Party. The district's R+11 partisan voting index, combined with Fitzgerald's consistent 64% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Democratic challengers, underscores his path to victory ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Democrats, featuring 2024 nominee Ben Steinhoff and Andrew Beck in their primary, trail with minimal fundraising—Fitzgerald holds $1.46 million cash on hand per March 31 reports—limiting competitiveness to 12.5% implied probability despite a recent statewide liberal Supreme Court win that showed limited local impact.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,096วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in the solidly Republican WI-05 district, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report and Safe R by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 80% for the Republican Party. The district's R+11 partisan voting index, combined with Fitzgerald's consistent 64% general election margins in 2022 and 2024 against Democratic challengers, underscores his path to victory ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Democrats, featuring 2024 nominee Ben Steinhoff and Andrew Beck in their primary, trail with minimal fundraising—Fitzgerald holds $1.46 million cash on hand per March 31 reports—limiting competitiveness to 12.5% implied probability despite a recent statewide liberal Supreme Court win that showed limited local impact.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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