Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The district, which includes parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler in Maricopa County, carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton’s 2024 reelection. Primary results from July 2026 reinforced this baseline, with Stanton securing the Democratic nomination and Republican Zuhdi Jasser advancing unopposed. Trader consensus embeds the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong third-party performance from the No Labels candidate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$33,658 ปริมาณ
$33,658 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$33,658 ปริมาณ
$33,658 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,617 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$8,041 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The district, which includes parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler in Maricopa County, carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton’s 2024 reelection. Primary results from July 2026 reinforced this baseline, with Stanton securing the Democratic nomination and Republican Zuhdi Jasser advancing unopposed. Trader consensus embeds the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong third-party performance from the No Labels candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,658วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The district, which includes parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler in Maricopa County, carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton’s 2024 reelection. Primary results from July 2026 reinforced this baseline, with Stanton securing the Democratic nomination and Republican Zuhdi Jasser advancing unopposed. Trader consensus embeds the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong third-party performance from the No Labels candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,658วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. The district, which includes parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler in Maricopa County, carries a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton’s 2024 reelection. Primary results from July 2026 reinforced this baseline, with Stanton securing the Democratic nomination and Republican Zuhdi Jasser advancing unopposed. Trader consensus embeds the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising, and district composition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, sharp national political shifts, or unusually strong third-party performance from the No Labels candidate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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