Madeleine Dean, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean and past voting patterns. Dean faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski also advanced without a contest, limiting any early momentum for the challenger. Strong fundraising totals, limited recent polling movement, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts favoring Republicans have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the race, though current conditions show few catalysts for meaningful change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
$17,778 ปริมาณ
$17,778 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$17,778 ปริมาณ
$17,778 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,620 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$11,159 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean and past voting patterns. Dean faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski also advanced without a contest, limiting any early momentum for the challenger. Strong fundraising totals, limited recent polling movement, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts favoring Republicans have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the race, though current conditions show few catalysts for meaningful change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,778วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean and past voting patterns. Dean faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski also advanced without a contest, limiting any early momentum for the challenger. Strong fundraising totals, limited recent polling movement, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts favoring Republicans have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the race, though current conditions show few catalysts for meaningful change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,778วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Madeleine Dean, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 4th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. Election forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its consistent partisan lean and past voting patterns. Dean faced no primary opposition in May 2026, while Republican nominee Aurora Stuski also advanced without a contest, limiting any early momentum for the challenger. Strong fundraising totals, limited recent polling movement, and the absence of major scandals or national shifts favoring Republicans have reinforced trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still alter the race, though current conditions show few catalysts for meaningful change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย