Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen holds a narrow edge in the NY-04 House race, reflecting her 2024 victory by roughly 2 percentage points in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic, citing her incumbency and the rematch against former Rep. Anthony D’Esposito, widely expected to seek the Republican nomination. Gillen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican primary on June 23 will set the general-election matchup. Trader consensus at 52% for the Democratic nominee versus 18.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and historical patterns in suburban Long Island seats, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout and national midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-04 House Election Winner
NY-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
20%
Democratic Party
55%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$197 ปริมาณ
20%
Democratic Party
$124 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen holds a narrow edge in the NY-04 House race, reflecting her 2024 victory by roughly 2 percentage points in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic, citing her incumbency and the rematch against former Rep. Anthony D’Esposito, widely expected to seek the Republican nomination. Gillen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican primary on June 23 will set the general-election matchup. Trader consensus at 52% for the Democratic nominee versus 18.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and historical patterns in suburban Long Island seats, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen holds a narrow edge in the NY-04 House race, reflecting her 2024 victory by roughly 2 percentage points in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic, citing her incumbency and the rematch against former Rep. Anthony D’Esposito, widely expected to seek the Republican nomination. Gillen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican primary on June 23 will set the general-election matchup. Trader consensus at 52% for the Democratic nominee versus 18.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and historical patterns in suburban Long Island seats, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen holds a narrow edge in the NY-04 House race, reflecting her 2024 victory by roughly 2 percentage points in a district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the contest a toss-up leaning Democratic, citing her incumbency and the rematch against former Rep. Anthony D’Esposito, widely expected to seek the Republican nomination. Gillen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while the Republican primary on June 23 will set the general-election matchup. Trader consensus at 52% for the Democratic nominee versus 18.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s modest Democratic tilt and historical patterns in suburban Long Island seats, though the outcome remains sensitive to turnout and national midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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