Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral race with a 74.6% market share because his Renovación Popular list, nominally headed by Luis Rubio before the latter’s resignation, maintains a clear polling edge ahead of the October 4 election. Recent IEP surveys place López Aliaga near 20% support, ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 17%, with all other listed candidates below 5%. Legal rulings by the JNE have upheld his registration as first regidor despite constitutional limits on immediate re-election, raising the prospect of automatic succession if his slate prevails. Ongoing JEE sanctions over campaign materials and debate scheduling have kept attention on this succession mechanism, while opposition fragmentation and limited recent movement in second-tier preferences reinforce trader expectations that the Renovación Popular ticket will secure the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRafael López Aliaga 75.3%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 21.1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.0%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
$152,094 ปริมาณ
$152,094 ปริมาณ
Rafael López Aliaga
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 75.3%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 21.1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli 3.0%
Francis James Allison Oyague 2.1%
$152,094 ปริมาณ
$152,094 ปริมาณ
Rafael López Aliaga
75%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
21%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
3%
Francis James Allison Oyague
2%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
2%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga leads the Lima mayoral race with a 74.6% market share because his Renovación Popular list, nominally headed by Luis Rubio before the latter’s resignation, maintains a clear polling edge ahead of the October 4 election. Recent IEP surveys place López Aliaga near 20% support, ahead of Carlos Bruce at roughly 17%, with all other listed candidates below 5%. Legal rulings by the JNE have upheld his registration as first regidor despite constitutional limits on immediate re-election, raising the prospect of automatic succession if his slate prevails. Ongoing JEE sanctions over campaign materials and debate scheduling have kept attention on this succession mechanism, while opposition fragmentation and limited recent movement in second-tier preferences reinforce trader expectations that the Renovación Popular ticket will secure the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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