Paxton's decisive victory over incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 Republican primary runoff, backed by a late Trump endorsement, has positioned him as the GOP nominee in a state where Republicans have won every Senate race since 1988. This primary outcome underpins traders' 60.5% consensus on Paxton despite Talarico's strong Democratic primary performance and recent polling that shows the matchup within a few points. Talarico has raised substantial funds and shifted to attacks on Paxton's legal history and controversies, while lingering divisions among Cornyn voters and independent preferences introduce uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$441,349 ปริมาณ
$441,349 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
61%
James Talarico (D)
40%
$441,349 ปริมาณ
$441,349 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
$256,965 ปริมาณ
61%
James Talarico (D)
$184,385 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Paxton's decisive victory over incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 Republican primary runoff, backed by a late Trump endorsement, has positioned him as the GOP nominee in a state where Republicans have won every Senate race since 1988. This primary outcome underpins traders' 60.5% consensus on Paxton despite Talarico's strong Democratic primary performance and recent polling that shows the matchup within a few points. Talarico has raised substantial funds and shifted to attacks on Paxton's legal history and controversies, while lingering divisions among Cornyn voters and independent preferences introduce uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$441,349วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Paxton's decisive victory over incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 Republican primary runoff, backed by a late Trump endorsement, has positioned him as the GOP nominee in a state where Republicans have won every Senate race since 1988. This primary outcome underpins traders' 60.5% consensus on Paxton despite Talarico's strong Democratic primary performance and recent polling that shows the matchup within a few points. Talarico has raised substantial funds and shifted to attacks on Paxton's legal history and controversies, while lingering divisions among Cornyn voters and independent preferences introduce uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$441,349วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paxton's decisive victory over incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26 Republican primary runoff, backed by a late Trump endorsement, has positioned him as the GOP nominee in a state where Republicans have won every Senate race since 1988. This primary outcome underpins traders' 60.5% consensus on Paxton despite Talarico's strong Democratic primary performance and recent polling that shows the matchup within a few points. Talarico has raised substantial funds and shifted to attacks on Paxton's legal history and controversies, while lingering divisions among Cornyn voters and independent preferences introduce uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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