The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested heading into November 2026, with trader consensus reflecting polling averages that show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton within a few points of each other. Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, consolidated much of the GOP base, yet Talarico’s record fundraising—over $68 million compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has fueled aggressive advertising and outreach that narrowed historical Republican advantages. Recent surveys highlight Talarico’s strength among independents, moderates, and Hispanic voters, offsetting Paxton’s edge with core Republicans in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with limited undecided voters and outside spending likely to determine any late separation before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$984,276 ปริมาณ
$984,276 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$984,276 ปริมาณ
$984,276 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$448,268 ปริมาณ
51%
Ken Paxton (R)
$536,009 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested heading into November 2026, with trader consensus reflecting polling averages that show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton within a few points of each other. Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, consolidated much of the GOP base, yet Talarico’s record fundraising—over $68 million compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has fueled aggressive advertising and outreach that narrowed historical Republican advantages. Recent surveys highlight Talarico’s strength among independents, moderates, and Hispanic voters, offsetting Paxton’s edge with core Republicans in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with limited undecided voters and outside spending likely to determine any late separation before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$984,276วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested heading into November 2026, with trader consensus reflecting polling averages that show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton within a few points of each other. Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, consolidated much of the GOP base, yet Talarico’s record fundraising—over $68 million compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has fueled aggressive advertising and outreach that narrowed historical Republican advantages. Recent surveys highlight Talarico’s strength among independents, moderates, and Hispanic voters, offsetting Paxton’s edge with core Republicans in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with limited undecided voters and outside spending likely to determine any late separation before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$984,276วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas U.S. Senate race remains tightly contested heading into November 2026, with trader consensus reflecting polling averages that show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton within a few points of each other. Paxton’s primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, backed by President Trump, consolidated much of the GOP base, yet Talarico’s record fundraising—over $68 million compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has fueled aggressive advertising and outreach that narrowed historical Republican advantages. Recent surveys highlight Talarico’s strength among independents, moderates, and Hispanic voters, offsetting Paxton’s edge with core Republicans in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, with limited undecided voters and outside spending likely to determine any late separation before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย