Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican hold at 56.5% for the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's GOP lean and historical advantages for incumbents like John Cornyn despite recent polls showing a closely contested matchup against Democratic nominee James Talarico. The March 3 primaries advanced Talarico decisively while forcing a May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, whose latest Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) gives Paxton a 48-40 edge among likely voters amid Paxton's stronger MAGA base turnout. General election surveys, including University of Houston data from early 2026, average Cornyn up slightly at +2 over Talarico, though some March internals show Talarico edging both Republicans; the runoff outcome and fundraising edges (Cornyn backed by $60 million in super PACs) will likely tip probabilities ahead of November balloting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$177,002 ปริมาณ
$177,002 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$177,002 ปริมาณ
$177,002 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$94,114 ปริมาณ
56%
Democrat
$82,888 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican hold at 56.5% for the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's GOP lean and historical advantages for incumbents like John Cornyn despite recent polls showing a closely contested matchup against Democratic nominee James Talarico. The March 3 primaries advanced Talarico decisively while forcing a May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, whose latest Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) gives Paxton a 48-40 edge among likely voters amid Paxton's stronger MAGA base turnout. General election surveys, including University of Houston data from early 2026, average Cornyn up slightly at +2 over Talarico, though some March internals show Talarico edging both Republicans; the runoff outcome and fundraising edges (Cornyn backed by $60 million in super PACs) will likely tip probabilities ahead of November balloting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,002วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican hold at 56.5% for the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's GOP lean and historical advantages for incumbents like John Cornyn despite recent polls showing a closely contested matchup against Democratic nominee James Talarico. The March 3 primaries advanced Talarico decisively while forcing a May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, whose latest Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) gives Paxton a 48-40 edge among likely voters amid Paxton's stronger MAGA base turnout. General election surveys, including University of Houston data from early 2026, average Cornyn up slightly at +2 over Talarico, though some March internals show Talarico edging both Republicans; the runoff outcome and fundraising edges (Cornyn backed by $60 million in super PACs) will likely tip probabilities ahead of November balloting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,002วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Republican hold at 56.5% for the Texas Senate race, reflecting the state's GOP lean and historical advantages for incumbents like John Cornyn despite recent polls showing a closely contested matchup against Democratic nominee James Talarico. The March 3 primaries advanced Talarico decisively while forcing a May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, whose latest Texas Public Opinion Research poll (April 16) gives Paxton a 48-40 edge among likely voters amid Paxton's stronger MAGA base turnout. General election surveys, including University of Houston data from early 2026, average Cornyn up slightly at +2 over Talarico, though some March internals show Talarico edging both Republicans; the runoff outcome and fundraising edges (Cornyn backed by $60 million in super PACs) will likely tip probabilities ahead of November balloting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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