Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, but the state's Democratic lean—evident in polls showing leading candidates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig ahead by 3-7 points over top Republican Michele Tafoya—positions Democrats as heavy trader favorites at 90% implied probability. Recent Emerson College polling from early February and ongoing averages reinforce this, with no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Democrats' control of statewide offices. Angie Craig's dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million raised, $4.9 million cash on hand as of March 31) bolsters the party's edge two days ago, while a crowded GOP primary weakens challengers. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a Republican upset would require national tailwinds or Democratic infighting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$22,268 ปริมาณ
$22,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
9%
$22,268 ปริมาณ
$22,268 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$15,763 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican
$6,506 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, but the state's Democratic lean—evident in polls showing leading candidates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig ahead by 3-7 points over top Republican Michele Tafoya—positions Democrats as heavy trader favorites at 90% implied probability. Recent Emerson College polling from early February and ongoing averages reinforce this, with no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Democrats' control of statewide offices. Angie Craig's dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million raised, $4.9 million cash on hand as of March 31) bolsters the party's edge two days ago, while a crowded GOP primary weakens challengers. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a Republican upset would require national tailwinds or Democratic infighting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, but the state's Democratic lean—evident in polls showing leading candidates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig ahead by 3-7 points over top Republican Michele Tafoya—positions Democrats as heavy trader favorites at 90% implied probability. Recent Emerson College polling from early February and ongoing averages reinforce this, with no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Democrats' control of statewide offices. Angie Craig's dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million raised, $4.9 million cash on hand as of March 31) bolsters the party's edge two days ago, while a crowded GOP primary weakens challengers. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a Republican upset would require national tailwinds or Democratic infighting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,268วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created an open Minnesota Senate seat, but the state's Democratic lean—evident in polls showing leading candidates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig ahead by 3-7 points over top Republican Michele Tafoya—positions Democrats as heavy trader favorites at 90% implied probability. Recent Emerson College polling from early February and ongoing averages reinforce this, with no Republican Senate win since 2002 amid Democrats' control of statewide offices. Angie Craig's dominant Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million raised, $4.9 million cash on hand as of March 31) bolsters the party's edge two days ago, while a crowded GOP primary weakens challengers. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, though a Republican upset would require national tailwinds or Democratic infighting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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