Tina Smith's February 2025 decision not to seek a second full term created an open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, a state where Democrats have held both Senate positions for years. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in statewide voting and the absence of prominent Republican challengers with broad name recognition or fundraising strength. The August 11 Democratic primary between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig has drawn attention for its ideological elements, yet general-election polling shows Democratic candidates maintaining leads over leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the November 3, 2026, resolution timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$24,889 ปริมาณ
$24,889 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
$24,889 ปริมาณ
$24,889 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,999 ปริมาณ
90%
Republican
$7,890 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Smith's February 2025 decision not to seek a second full term created an open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, a state where Democrats have held both Senate positions for years. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in statewide voting and the absence of prominent Republican challengers with broad name recognition or fundraising strength. The August 11 Democratic primary between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig has drawn attention for its ideological elements, yet general-election polling shows Democratic candidates maintaining leads over leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the November 3, 2026, resolution timeline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,889วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tina Smith's February 2025 decision not to seek a second full term created an open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, a state where Democrats have held both Senate positions for years. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in statewide voting and the absence of prominent Republican challengers with broad name recognition or fundraising strength. The August 11 Democratic primary between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig has drawn attention for its ideological elements, yet general-election polling shows Democratic candidates maintaining leads over leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the November 3, 2026, resolution timeline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,889วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tina Smith's February 2025 decision not to seek a second full term created an open U.S. Senate seat in Minnesota, a state where Democrats have held both Senate positions for years. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's consistent performance in statewide voting and the absence of prominent Republican challengers with broad name recognition or fundraising strength. The August 11 Democratic primary between Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig has drawn attention for its ideological elements, yet general-election polling shows Democratic candidates maintaining leads over leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and the November 3, 2026, resolution timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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