Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Dwight Evans retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, prompting a May 19 Democratic primary won by state Representative Chris Rabb. No Republican candidate appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election contest without organized opposition from the opposing party. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district’s consistent partisan performance and limited crossover appeal. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or a late surge by an independent or write-in effort capable of overcoming the structural margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-03 House Election Winner
$16,477 ปริมาณ
$16,477 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$16,477 ปริมาณ
$16,477 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Dwight Evans retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, prompting a May 19 Democratic primary won by state Representative Chris Rabb. No Republican candidate appeared on the primary ballot, leaving the general election contest without organized opposition from the opposing party. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district’s consistent partisan performance and limited crossover appeal. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or a late surge by an independent or write-in effort capable of overcoming the structural margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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