**Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a Cook PVI of D+41 encompassing much of Philadelphia, positions the Democratic Party as commanding trader consensus at 94% to retain the House seat in November 2026, reflecting its consistent landslide margins in recent cycles.** The district opened after longtime Rep. Dwight Evans announced retirement in June 2025, spurring a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 featuring six candidates including state Sen. Sharif Street, state Rep. Chris Rabb, and Dr. Ala Stanford, with recent developments like Common Defense's April 6 endorsement of Rabb and ongoing forums narrowing the field amid fundraising races. Lacking a prominent Republican contender and given historical incumbent-party dominance in safe districts, odds heavily favor the Democratic nominee; realistic challenges would require a major primary winner scandal, high-profile GOP recruitment, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm surge altering battleground dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$12,920 ปริมาณ
$12,920 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,920 ปริมาณ
$12,920 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,383 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$5,538 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a Cook PVI of D+41 encompassing much of Philadelphia, positions the Democratic Party as commanding trader consensus at 94% to retain the House seat in November 2026, reflecting its consistent landslide margins in recent cycles.** The district opened after longtime Rep. Dwight Evans announced retirement in June 2025, spurring a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 featuring six candidates including state Sen. Sharif Street, state Rep. Chris Rabb, and Dr. Ala Stanford, with recent developments like Common Defense's April 6 endorsement of Rabb and ongoing forums narrowing the field amid fundraising races. Lacking a prominent Republican contender and given historical incumbent-party dominance in safe districts, odds heavily favor the Democratic nominee; realistic challenges would require a major primary winner scandal, high-profile GOP recruitment, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm surge altering battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,920วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a Cook PVI of D+41 encompassing much of Philadelphia, positions the Democratic Party as commanding trader consensus at 94% to retain the House seat in November 2026, reflecting its consistent landslide margins in recent cycles.** The district opened after longtime Rep. Dwight Evans announced retirement in June 2025, spurring a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 featuring six candidates including state Sen. Sharif Street, state Rep. Chris Rabb, and Dr. Ala Stanford, with recent developments like Common Defense's April 6 endorsement of Rabb and ongoing forums narrowing the field amid fundraising races. Lacking a prominent Republican contender and given historical incumbent-party dominance in safe districts, odds heavily favor the Democratic nominee; realistic challenges would require a major primary winner scandal, high-profile GOP recruitment, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm surge altering battleground dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,920วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, a deep-blue seat with a Cook PVI of D+41 encompassing much of Philadelphia, positions the Democratic Party as commanding trader consensus at 94% to retain the House seat in November 2026, reflecting its consistent landslide margins in recent cycles.** The district opened after longtime Rep. Dwight Evans announced retirement in June 2025, spurring a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 featuring six candidates including state Sen. Sharif Street, state Rep. Chris Rabb, and Dr. Ala Stanford, with recent developments like Common Defense's April 6 endorsement of Rabb and ongoing forums narrowing the field amid fundraising races. Lacking a prominent Republican contender and given historical incumbent-party dominance in safe districts, odds heavily favor the Democratic nominee; realistic challenges would require a major primary winner scandal, high-profile GOP recruitment, depressed Democratic turnout, or a national Republican midterm surge altering battleground dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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