Republican traders heavily favor a GOP hold at 81% implied probability in Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driven by recent Stetson University polling from late April showing appointee Ashley Moody leading Democrat Alexander Vindman 49%-42% and state Rep. Angie Nixon 51%-38% among likely voters. Gov. Ron DeSantis's January appointment of Moody, Florida's former attorney general, to replace Marco Rubio—who resigned for secretary of state—bolsters her incumbency advantage in a state trending Republican after strong 2024 GOP turnout in battleground areas. With primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3, Moody's edge reflects Florida's electoral math favoring Republicans, though Democratic fundraising and national headwinds could narrow the gap if turnout shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$36,240 ปริมาณ
$36,240 ปริมาณ
Republican
82%
Democrat
18%
$36,240 ปริมาณ
$36,240 ปริมาณ
Republican
$19,115 ปริมาณ
82%
Democrat
$17,124 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican traders heavily favor a GOP hold at 81% implied probability in Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driven by recent Stetson University polling from late April showing appointee Ashley Moody leading Democrat Alexander Vindman 49%-42% and state Rep. Angie Nixon 51%-38% among likely voters. Gov. Ron DeSantis's January appointment of Moody, Florida's former attorney general, to replace Marco Rubio—who resigned for secretary of state—bolsters her incumbency advantage in a state trending Republican after strong 2024 GOP turnout in battleground areas. With primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3, Moody's edge reflects Florida's electoral math favoring Republicans, though Democratic fundraising and national headwinds could narrow the gap if turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,240ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican traders heavily favor a GOP hold at 81% implied probability in Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driven by recent Stetson University polling from late April showing appointee Ashley Moody leading Democrat Alexander Vindman 49%-42% and state Rep. Angie Nixon 51%-38% among likely voters. Gov. Ron DeSantis's January appointment of Moody, Florida's former attorney general, to replace Marco Rubio—who resigned for secretary of state—bolsters her incumbency advantage in a state trending Republican after strong 2024 GOP turnout in battleground areas. With primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3, Moody's edge reflects Florida's electoral math favoring Republicans, though Democratic fundraising and national headwinds could narrow the gap if turnout shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,240ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders heavily favor a GOP hold at 81% implied probability in Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driven by recent Stetson University polling from late April showing appointee Ashley Moody leading Democrat Alexander Vindman 49%-42% and state Rep. Angie Nixon 51%-38% among likely voters. Gov. Ron DeSantis's January appointment of Moody, Florida's former attorney general, to replace Marco Rubio—who resigned for secretary of state—bolsters her incumbency advantage in a state trending Republican after strong 2024 GOP turnout in battleground areas. With primaries on August 18 and the general on November 3, Moody's edge reflects Florida's electoral math favoring Republicans, though Democratic fundraising and national headwinds could narrow the gap if turnout shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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