Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his confirmation as secretary of state, maintains consistent leads of 7–10 points over likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman in recent University of North Florida and other polling. Florida’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor the Republican candidate in this special election for the final two years of the term. The Democratic primary on August 18 will determine the general-election challenger, yet current matchups show limited movement in voter preferences ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects the structural advantages and polling stability, with the Democratic path remaining narrow absent major shifts in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$68,903 ปริมาณ
$68,903 ปริมาณ
Republican
87%
Democrat
14%
$68,903 ปริมาณ
$68,903 ปริมาณ
Republican
$39,045 ปริมาณ
87%
Democrat
$29,859 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his confirmation as secretary of state, maintains consistent leads of 7–10 points over likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman in recent University of North Florida and other polling. Florida’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor the Republican candidate in this special election for the final two years of the term. The Democratic primary on August 18 will determine the general-election challenger, yet current matchups show limited movement in voter preferences ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects the structural advantages and polling stability, with the Democratic path remaining narrow absent major shifts in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,903ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his confirmation as secretary of state, maintains consistent leads of 7–10 points over likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman in recent University of North Florida and other polling. Florida’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor the Republican candidate in this special election for the final two years of the term. The Democratic primary on August 18 will determine the general-election challenger, yet current matchups show limited movement in voter preferences ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects the structural advantages and polling stability, with the Democratic path remaining narrow absent major shifts in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,903ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed in 2025 to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his confirmation as secretary of state, maintains consistent leads of 7–10 points over likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman in recent University of North Florida and other polling. Florida’s partisan lean and historical voting patterns favor the Republican candidate in this special election for the final two years of the term. The Democratic primary on August 18 will determine the general-election challenger, yet current matchups show limited movement in voter preferences ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects the structural advantages and polling stability, with the Democratic path remaining narrow absent major shifts in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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