Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state, maintains a consistent lead in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points, aligning with the state’s Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to shift momentum before the November general election. Florida’s electorate and fundraising advantages for the Republican nominee further reinforce trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for the GOP outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$68,903 ปริมาณ
$68,903 ปริมาณ
Republican
87%
Democrat
14%
$68,903 ปริมาณ
$68,903 ปริมาณ
Republican
$39,045 ปริมาณ
87%
Democrat
$29,859 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state, maintains a consistent lead in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points, aligning with the state’s Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to shift momentum before the November general election. Florida’s electorate and fundraising advantages for the Republican nominee further reinforce trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for the GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,903ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state, maintains a consistent lead in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points, aligning with the state’s Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to shift momentum before the November general election. Florida’s electorate and fundraising advantages for the Republican nominee further reinforce trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for the GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,903ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term after his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state, maintains a consistent lead in Florida’s 2026 special Senate election. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points, aligning with the state’s Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to shift momentum before the November general election. Florida’s electorate and fundraising advantages for the Republican nominee further reinforce trader consensus around an 87% implied probability for the GOP outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย