Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 81.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Kansas's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential contests, underpins trader consensus, as does Marshall's primary win and incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Adam Hamilton secured his party's nomination after a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 1996. Recent general election polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits in some surveys, yet forecasts rate the contest as likely Republican due to baseline partisanship and limited Democratic crossover potential. No major developments have altered the trajectory since the August primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$46,097 ปริมาณ
$46,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
82%
Democrat
19%
$46,097 ปริมาณ
$46,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$30,084 ปริมาณ
82%
Democrat
$16,013 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 81.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Kansas's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential contests, underpins trader consensus, as does Marshall's primary win and incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Adam Hamilton secured his party's nomination after a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 1996. Recent general election polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits in some surveys, yet forecasts rate the contest as likely Republican due to baseline partisanship and limited Democratic crossover potential. No major developments have altered the trajectory since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 81.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Kansas's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential contests, underpins trader consensus, as does Marshall's primary win and incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Adam Hamilton secured his party's nomination after a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 1996. Recent general election polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits in some surveys, yet forecasts rate the contest as likely Republican due to baseline partisanship and limited Democratic crossover potential. No major developments have altered the trajectory since the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 81.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Kansas's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential contests, underpins trader consensus, as does Marshall's primary win and incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Democrat Adam Hamilton secured his party's nomination after a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held the seat since 1996. Recent general election polling shows Marshall leading by low single digits in some surveys, yet forecasts rate the contest as likely Republican due to baseline partisanship and limited Democratic crossover potential. No major developments have altered the trajectory since the August primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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