Kansas's solidly Republican electoral history and voter base continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Senate contest, where incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August primary, while Hamilton prevailed in a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows a narrow general-election race, yet the state's long-term partisan lean, Marshall's incumbency, and limited crossover support sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, leaving the outcome heavily influenced by turnout patterns in rural and suburban areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$46,097 ปริมาณ
$46,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
82%
Democrat
19%
$46,097 ปริมาณ
$46,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$30,084 ปริมาณ
82%
Democrat
$16,013 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's solidly Republican electoral history and voter base continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Senate contest, where incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August primary, while Hamilton prevailed in a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows a narrow general-election race, yet the state's long-term partisan lean, Marshall's incumbency, and limited crossover support sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, leaving the outcome heavily influenced by turnout patterns in rural and suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's solidly Republican electoral history and voter base continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Senate contest, where incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August primary, while Hamilton prevailed in a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows a narrow general-election race, yet the state's long-term partisan lean, Marshall's incumbency, and limited crossover support sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, leaving the outcome heavily influenced by turnout patterns in rural and suburban areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's solidly Republican electoral history and voter base continue to anchor trader expectations for the November 2026 Senate contest, where incumbent Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August primary, while Hamilton prevailed in a crowded Democratic field. Recent polling shows a narrow general-election race, yet the state's long-term partisan lean, Marshall's incumbency, and limited crossover support sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the fundamentals since the primaries, leaving the outcome heavily influenced by turnout patterns in rural and suburban areas.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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