Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 ปริมาณ
$7,021 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
Jill Tokuda
Yes
Kirill Basin
No
Greg Guithues
No
Steven King
No
Jill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 ปริมาณ
$7,021 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
Jill Tokuda
$5,504 ปริมาณ
Yes
Kirill Basin
$792 ปริมาณ
No
Greg Guithues
$360 ปริมาณ
No
Steven King
$364 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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