Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results that sustain the current market pricing for a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Representative Ed Case holds a strong position ahead of the August 8, 2026, Democratic primary against challengers including state Senator Jarrett Keohokalole, with earlier polling showing comfortable leads. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in the Honolulu-centered district, limiting general election competitiveness. The outcome hinges on primary resolution and standard turnout patterns, though major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in local voter sentiment could alter the trajectory before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$27,886 ปริมาณ
$27,886 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$27,886 ปริมาณ
$27,886 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,477 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$13,408 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results that sustain the current market pricing for a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Representative Ed Case holds a strong position ahead of the August 8, 2026, Democratic primary against challengers including state Senator Jarrett Keohokalole, with earlier polling showing comfortable leads. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in the Honolulu-centered district, limiting general election competitiveness. The outcome hinges on primary resolution and standard turnout patterns, though major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in local voter sentiment could alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,886วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results that sustain the current market pricing for a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Representative Ed Case holds a strong position ahead of the August 8, 2026, Democratic primary against challengers including state Senator Jarrett Keohokalole, with earlier polling showing comfortable leads. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in the Honolulu-centered district, limiting general election competitiveness. The outcome hinges on primary resolution and standard turnout patterns, though major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in local voter sentiment could alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,886วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results that sustain the current market pricing for a Democratic general election winner. Incumbent Representative Ed Case holds a strong position ahead of the August 8, 2026, Democratic primary against challengers including state Senator Jarrett Keohokalole, with earlier polling showing comfortable leads. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in the Honolulu-centered district, limiting general election competitiveness. The outcome hinges on primary resolution and standard turnout patterns, though major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant shifts in local voter sentiment could alter the trajectory before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย