Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, one of the bluest nationally, and incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position after 13 years in office with consistent 70%+ general election margins. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports through March 31 show Beatty holding $2.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Joe Gerard's zero-donation campaign in the May 5 Democratic primary, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney runs unopposed on the GOP side amid his controversial January 6 background. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election threat ahead of November 3. Upsets could arise from a Beatty primary loss yielding a weaker nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in such districts make these improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$28,945 ปริมาณ
$28,945 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$28,945 ปริมาณ
$28,945 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 93.5% to win Ohio's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, one of the bluest nationally, and incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty's commanding position after 13 years in office with consistent 70%+ general election margins. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports through March 31 show Beatty holding $2.8 million cash on hand, dwarfing challenger Joe Gerard's zero-donation campaign in the May 5 Democratic primary, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney runs unopposed on the GOP side amid his controversial January 6 background. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election threat ahead of November 3. Upsets could arise from a Beatty primary loss yielding a weaker nominee, late scandals, health issues, or an extraordinary national Republican wave, though historical precedents in such districts make these improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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