Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following their respective primary victories on May 5. The district, centered in Columbus and Franklin County, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and the post-2025 redistricting preserved its partisan composition. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean, Beatty’s established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. A shift in these odds would require significant late developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$33,550 ปริมาณ
$33,550 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$33,550 ปริมาณ
$33,550 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,750 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$5,800 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following their respective primary victories on May 5. The district, centered in Columbus and Franklin County, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and the post-2025 redistricting preserved its partisan composition. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean, Beatty’s established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. A shift in these odds would require significant late developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,550วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following their respective primary victories on May 5. The district, centered in Columbus and Franklin County, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and the post-2025 redistricting preserved its partisan composition. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean, Beatty’s established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. A shift in these odds would require significant late developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,550วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joyce Beatty faces Republican Cleophus Dulaney in Ohio’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following their respective primary victories on May 5. The district, centered in Columbus and Franklin County, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, and the post-2025 redistricting preserved its partisan composition. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the seat’s structural lean, Beatty’s established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive Republican opposition. A shift in these odds would require significant late developments such as a candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unexpected national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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