South Dakota’s at-large congressional district has not elected a Democrat since 2008, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt in federal races and alignment with statewide voting patterns. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has been claimed by Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive general election on November 3, 2026. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$31,616 ปริมาณ
$31,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$31,616 ปริมาณ
$31,616 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,928 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$7,688 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district has not elected a Democrat since 2008, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt in federal races and alignment with statewide voting patterns. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has been claimed by Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive general election on November 3, 2026. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district has not elected a Democrat since 2008, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt in federal races and alignment with statewide voting patterns. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has been claimed by Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive general election on November 3, 2026. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,616วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district has not elected a Democrat since 2008, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt in federal races and alignment with statewide voting patterns. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has been claimed by Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured nearly 80 percent in the June primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive general election on November 3, 2026. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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