Wyoming's at-large House seat remains an open contest following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and repeated general-election margins exceeding 40 points, anchors trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, the decisive stage given the district's makeup, while Democratic primary participation stays limited. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe or solid Republican. A Republican nominee facing post-primary complications or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWY-AL House Election Winner
WY-AL House Election Winner
$42,404 ปริมาณ
$42,404 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
1%
$42,404 ปริมาณ
$42,404 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,596 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$23,808 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains an open contest following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and repeated general-election margins exceeding 40 points, anchors trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, the decisive stage given the district's makeup, while Democratic primary participation stays limited. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe or solid Republican. A Republican nominee facing post-primary complications or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,404วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large House seat remains an open contest following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and repeated general-election margins exceeding 40 points, anchors trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, the decisive stage given the district's makeup, while Democratic primary participation stays limited. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe or solid Republican. A Republican nominee facing post-primary complications or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,404วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large House seat remains an open contest following incumbent Harriet Hageman's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate. The state's consistent Republican dominance in federal races, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+23 and repeated general-election margins exceeding 40 points, anchors trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 Republican primary, the decisive stage given the district's makeup, while Democratic primary participation stays limited. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe or solid Republican. A Republican nominee facing post-primary complications or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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