Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong reelection bid in California's 46th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93% for Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Correa's track record of 60%+ general election margins, including 63% against Republican David Pan in 2024, combined with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfs challengers' resources ahead of the June 2 top-two primary featuring minor Democratic rivals and Pan's return. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, reflecting the district's reliable Democratic turnout in heavily Latino Orange County areas. Upsets remain possible via a major Correa scandal, unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting battleground turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-46 House Election Winner
CA-46 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$772 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$8,635 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong reelection bid in California's 46th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93% for Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Correa's track record of 60%+ general election margins, including 63% against Republican David Pan in 2024, combined with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfs challengers' resources ahead of the June 2 top-two primary featuring minor Democratic rivals and Pan's return. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, reflecting the district's reliable Democratic turnout in heavily Latino Orange County areas. Upsets remain possible via a major Correa scandal, unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,408วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong reelection bid in California's 46th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93% for Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Correa's track record of 60%+ general election margins, including 63% against Republican David Pan in 2024, combined with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfs challengers' resources ahead of the June 2 top-two primary featuring minor Democratic rivals and Pan's return. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, reflecting the district's reliable Democratic turnout in heavily Latino Orange County areas. Upsets remain possible via a major Correa scandal, unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,408วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong reelection bid in California's 46th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic with a D+11 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93% for Democratic Party victory in the November 3 general election. Correa's track record of 60%+ general election margins, including 63% against Republican David Pan in 2024, combined with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfs challengers' resources ahead of the June 2 top-two primary featuring minor Democratic rivals and Pan's return. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, reflecting the district's reliable Democratic turnout in heavily Latino Orange County areas. Upsets remain possible via a major Correa scandal, unexpected GOP fundraising surge post-primary, or national Republican midterm wave boosting battleground turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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