Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-05 House Election Winner
TX-05 House Election Winner
$13,446 ปริมาณ
$13,446 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$13,446 ปริมาณ
$13,446 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lance Gooden, who secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary with 100% of the vote, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for a Republican hold in the solidly Republican TX-05 district (Cook PVI R+10). Recent redistricting added East Dallas and Anderson County but preserved the reliably conservative baseline, where Donald Trump won 58.6% in 2024 versus Kamala Harris's 39.6%. Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between low-fundraising candidates Chelsey Hockett and Ruth Torres (each under $11,000 raised) signals a weak general election challenge ahead of November 3. Historical GOP margins near 64% underscore low upset risk, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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