The Republican Party holds a strong lead in the MO-02 House election market due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from name recognition and prior victories, including 54.5% in 2024, while multiple Democratic primary contenders vie for the nomination ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries. National Democrats placed the suburban St. Louis seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, signaling efforts to contest it amid shifting voter patterns in college-educated areas, yet the overall partisan composition and incumbency advantage sustain trader consensus around the current probabilities. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-02 House Election Winner
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
20%
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
20%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a strong lead in the MO-02 House election market due to the district's established Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, seeking a seventh term, benefits from name recognition and prior victories, including 54.5% in 2024, while multiple Democratic primary contenders vie for the nomination ahead of the August 4, 2026, primaries. National Democrats placed the suburban St. Louis seat on their target list in 2025 for the first time since 2020, signaling efforts to contest it amid shifting voter patterns in college-educated areas, yet the overall partisan composition and incumbency advantage sustain trader consensus around the current probabilities. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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