Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 30th most Democratic nationally—and her dominant 74.7% victory in the 2024 general election against a token Republican opponent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by McBath's recent decision to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek reelection, alongside her superior fundraising ($560,000 cash on hand) versus underfunded Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker. With primaries on May 19, 2026, an unlikely GOP upset would require a late scandal, health issue for McBath, or massive Republican midterm wave to shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-06 House Election Winner
GA-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,366 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$2,184 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 30th most Democratic nationally—and her dominant 74.7% victory in the 2024 general election against a token Republican opponent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by McBath's recent decision to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek reelection, alongside her superior fundraising ($560,000 cash on hand) versus underfunded Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker. With primaries on May 19, 2026, an unlikely GOP upset would require a late scandal, health issue for McBath, or massive Republican midterm wave to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,550วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 30th most Democratic nationally—and her dominant 74.7% victory in the 2024 general election against a token Republican opponent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by McBath's recent decision to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek reelection, alongside her superior fundraising ($560,000 cash on hand) versus underfunded Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker. With primaries on May 19, 2026, an unlikely GOP upset would require a late scandal, health issue for McBath, or massive Republican midterm wave to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,550วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lucy McBath (D) commands trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's D+25 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 30th most Democratic nationally—and her dominant 74.7% victory in the 2024 general election against a token Republican opponent. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, bolstered by McBath's recent decision to suspend a gubernatorial exploratory committee and seek reelection, alongside her superior fundraising ($560,000 cash on hand) versus underfunded Republican primary contenders Kevin Martin and Justin Pinker. With primaries on May 19, 2026, an unlikely GOP upset would require a late scandal, health issue for McBath, or massive Republican midterm wave to shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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