Redistricting under Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 2026 general election after both advanced from the June primary. Calvert, with a larger share of the redrawn map from his prior district and longer tenure, holds the leading trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability. Kim trails at 31%, supported by stronger recent fundraising and a July poll showing a statistical tie. Negative advertising has intensified between the campaigns, focusing on each candidate's record and alignment with party priorities. Democrats were eliminated in the top-two primary, leaving the outcome dependent on Republican voter turnout and any late shifts in the closely watched contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Calvert
68%
Young Kim
31%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Calvert
$1,644 ปริมาณ
68%
Young Kim
$1,463 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 2026 general election after both advanced from the June primary. Calvert, with a larger share of the redrawn map from his prior district and longer tenure, holds the leading trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability. Kim trails at 31%, supported by stronger recent fundraising and a July poll showing a statistical tie. Negative advertising has intensified between the campaigns, focusing on each candidate's record and alignment with party priorities. Democrats were eliminated in the top-two primary, leaving the outcome dependent on Republican voter turnout and any late shifts in the closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,107วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 2026 general election after both advanced from the June primary. Calvert, with a larger share of the redrawn map from his prior district and longer tenure, holds the leading trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability. Kim trails at 31%, supported by stronger recent fundraising and a July poll showing a statistical tie. Negative advertising has intensified between the campaigns, focusing on each candidate's record and alignment with party priorities. Democrats were eliminated in the top-two primary, leaving the outcome dependent on Republican voter turnout and any late shifts in the closely watched contest.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,107วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting under Proposition 50 placed Republican incumbents Ken Calvert and Young Kim in the same CA-40 district for the November 2026 general election after both advanced from the June primary. Calvert, with a larger share of the redrawn map from his prior district and longer tenure, holds the leading trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability. Kim trails at 31%, supported by stronger recent fundraising and a July poll showing a statistical tie. Negative advertising has intensified between the campaigns, focusing on each candidate's record and alignment with party priorities. Democrats were eliminated in the top-two primary, leaving the outcome dependent on Republican voter turnout and any late shifts in the closely watched contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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