Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California's 12th congressional district, holds a dominant position in the November 3 general election following her 84% primary win over challenger Jamie Joyce in June. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, encompassing Oakland and Berkeley, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, and Simon's substantial fundraising edge—exceeding $1.2 million compared to Joyce's minimal totals—has reinforced her standing. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders reflect this consensus through high implied probabilities for Simon, though a major late-cycle development such as a health event or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Lateefah Simon
95%
Jamie Joyce
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Lateefah Simon
$1,454 ปริมาณ
95%
Jamie Joyce
$1,107 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California's 12th congressional district, holds a dominant position in the November 3 general election following her 84% primary win over challenger Jamie Joyce in June. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, encompassing Oakland and Berkeley, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, and Simon's substantial fundraising edge—exceeding $1.2 million compared to Joyce's minimal totals—has reinforced her standing. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders reflect this consensus through high implied probabilities for Simon, though a major late-cycle development such as a health event or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,562วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California's 12th congressional district, holds a dominant position in the November 3 general election following her 84% primary win over challenger Jamie Joyce in June. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, encompassing Oakland and Berkeley, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, and Simon's substantial fundraising edge—exceeding $1.2 million compared to Joyce's minimal totals—has reinforced her standing. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders reflect this consensus through high implied probabilities for Simon, though a major late-cycle development such as a health event or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,562วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lateefah Simon, the Democratic incumbent for California's 12th congressional district, holds a dominant position in the November 3 general election following her 84% primary win over challenger Jamie Joyce in June. The solidly Democratic East Bay district, encompassing Oakland and Berkeley, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, and Simon's substantial fundraising edge—exceeding $1.2 million compared to Joyce's minimal totals—has reinforced her standing. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Traders reflect this consensus through high implied probabilities for Simon, though a major late-cycle development such as a health event or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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