Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMontana Senate Election Winner
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican 93%
Independent 3.6%
Democrat <1%
$111,340 ปริมาณ
$111,340 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Independent
4%
Democrat
1%
Republican 93%
Independent 3.6%
Democrat <1%
$111,340 ปริมาณ
$111,340 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$55,889 ปริมาณ
93%
Independent
$15,289 ปริมาณ
4%
Democrat
$40,162 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,340วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,340วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Kurt Alme holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montana Senate race, an open seat in a state that has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew in March 2026 and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with strong primary support and additional backing from party figures. Polling averages show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins, with the latter two splitting non-Republican support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and Montana's partisan lean, though shifts could occur from consolidated opposition turnout, late developments affecting any candidate, or unusually high independent performance in the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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