Wyoming's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 40 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Harriet Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and endorsements from key party figures, while Democrat James W. Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or significant shifts in voter registration could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such outcomes improbable before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,748 ปริมาณ
$16,748 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
3%
$16,748 ปริมาณ
$16,748 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$11,093 ปริมาณ
96%
Democrat
$5,655 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 40 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Harriet Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and endorsements from key party figures, while Democrat James W. Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or significant shifts in voter registration could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such outcomes improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,748วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 40 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Harriet Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and endorsements from key party figures, while Democrat James W. Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or significant shifts in voter registration could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such outcomes improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,748วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's deeply Republican electorate, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1970 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 40 points, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Harriet Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and endorsements from key party figures, while Democrat James W. Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unforeseen national Democratic surge altering turnout patterns, or significant shifts in voter registration could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates and current structural factors make such outcomes improbable before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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