Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to hold Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history—GOP nominees have won by double digits since 1976—and frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's strong position after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement amid post-legislative stockpiling of support in March. With Democratic challengers like former Rep. James Byrd facing a sparse field and no competitive polling, the August 18 primaries loom as the key test, though Wyoming's conservative turnout and lack of swing voters reinforce the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, but structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$5,922 ปริมาณ
93%
Democrat
$2,222 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to hold Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history—GOP nominees have won by double digits since 1976—and frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's strong position after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement amid post-legislative stockpiling of support in March. With Democratic challengers like former Rep. James Byrd facing a sparse field and no competitive polling, the August 18 primaries loom as the key test, though Wyoming's conservative turnout and lack of swing voters reinforce the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, but structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,145วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to hold Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history—GOP nominees have won by double digits since 1976—and frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's strong position after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement amid post-legislative stockpiling of support in March. With Democratic challengers like former Rep. James Byrd facing a sparse field and no competitive polling, the August 18 primaries loom as the key test, though Wyoming's conservative turnout and lack of swing voters reinforce the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, but structural barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,145วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 93% to hold Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat following Sen. Cynthia Lummis's December 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's deep-red electoral history—GOP nominees have won by double digits since 1976—and frontrunner Rep. Harriet Hageman's strong position after securing Sen. John Barrasso's January 2026 endorsement amid post-legislative stockpiling of support in March. With Democratic challengers like former Rep. James Byrd facing a sparse field and no competitive polling, the August 18 primaries loom as the key test, though Wyoming's conservative turnout and lack of swing voters reinforce the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave, but structural barriers remain formidable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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