Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election runoff at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding 42.8% finish in the June primary against a crowded Democratic field that included Melissa Hernandez at 16.8%. As state senator for the overlapping district with party endorsement and prior congressional campaign experience, Wahab benefits from greater name recognition and organizational support ahead of the August 18 vote. Hernandez, a BART board member and former Dublin mayor, trails amid substantial outside spending and debate over public safety priorities. The lopsided market pricing aligns with the primary margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close, while both candidates also advance to the November general in the heavily Democratic East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Aisha Wahab
87%
Melissa Hernandez
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Aisha Wahab
$4,292 ปริมาณ
87%
Melissa Hernandez
$2,092 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election runoff at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding 42.8% finish in the June primary against a crowded Democratic field that included Melissa Hernandez at 16.8%. As state senator for the overlapping district with party endorsement and prior congressional campaign experience, Wahab benefits from greater name recognition and organizational support ahead of the August 18 vote. Hernandez, a BART board member and former Dublin mayor, trails amid substantial outside spending and debate over public safety priorities. The lopsided market pricing aligns with the primary margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close, while both candidates also advance to the November general in the heavily Democratic East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,384วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election runoff at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding 42.8% finish in the June primary against a crowded Democratic field that included Melissa Hernandez at 16.8%. As state senator for the overlapping district with party endorsement and prior congressional campaign experience, Wahab benefits from greater name recognition and organizational support ahead of the August 18 vote. Hernandez, a BART board member and former Dublin mayor, trails amid substantial outside spending and debate over public safety priorities. The lopsided market pricing aligns with the primary margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close, while both candidates also advance to the November general in the heavily Democratic East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,384วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 10:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election runoff at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting her commanding 42.8% finish in the June primary against a crowded Democratic field that included Melissa Hernandez at 16.8%. As state senator for the overlapping district with party endorsement and prior congressional campaign experience, Wahab benefits from greater name recognition and organizational support ahead of the August 18 vote. Hernandez, a BART board member and former Dublin mayor, trails amid substantial outside spending and debate over public safety priorities. The lopsided market pricing aligns with the primary margin and limited time for shifts before ballots close, while both candidates also advance to the November general in the heavily Democratic East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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