Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 81.5% probability of a Democratic win, driven by his early polling leads and fundraising dominance. An Emerson College poll from early March showed Ossoff at 47-49% against top Republican primary contenders like Buddy Carter, Mike Collins, and Derek Dooley (41-44%), bolstered by strong support among independents, younger voters, and women, plus a +18% net favorable rating per recent Morning Consult data. A Politico report on April 15 highlighted Ossoff's cash-on-hand far exceeding the fragmented GOP field combined, amid an unsettled Republican primary ahead of the May 19 vote. As a battleground state, national midterm trends or a consolidated GOP nominee could shift dynamics, but current skin-in-the-game pricing reflects Ossoff's incumbency edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$21,379 ปริมาณ
$21,379 ปริมาณ

Democrat
82%

Republican
19%
$21,379 ปริมาณ
$21,379 ปริมาณ

Democrat
82%

Republican
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with trader consensus implying an 81.5% probability of a Democratic win, driven by his early polling leads and fundraising dominance. An Emerson College poll from early March showed Ossoff at 47-49% against top Republican primary contenders like Buddy Carter, Mike Collins, and Derek Dooley (41-44%), bolstered by strong support among independents, younger voters, and women, plus a +18% net favorable rating per recent Morning Consult data. A Politico report on April 15 highlighted Ossoff's cash-on-hand far exceeding the fragmented GOP field combined, amid an unsettled Republican primary ahead of the May 19 vote. As a battleground state, national midterm trends or a consolidated GOP nominee could shift dynamics, but current skin-in-the-game pricing reflects Ossoff's incumbency edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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