Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$10,492 ปริมาณ
$10,492 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$10,492 ปริมาณ
$10,492 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,967 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$3,525 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,492วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,492วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's strong position as the sole Democratic primary candidate in the D+15 leaning PA-05 district anchors trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries. Scanlon boasts $391,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Republican Nick Manganaro's zero reported funds, with forecasters like Cook Political Report rating the seat Solid Democratic. No major developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, reflecting historical incumbency advantages and weak GOP challengers in this suburban Philadelphia battleground. Potential disruptions include a well-funded Republican emerging post-primary, a national GOP midterm wave, or late scandals affecting Scanlon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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