Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. The district's southwestern Philadelphia suburbs, including Delaware County, carry a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and have delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Scanlon's unopposed Democratic primary victory in May 2026 and solid fundraising further reinforce her structural edge heading into the November general election. Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro faces steep headwinds in this environment. A national political shift, significant local scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings from forecasters indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$31,721 ปริมาณ
$31,721 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$31,721 ปริมาณ
$31,721 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,583 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$22,138 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. The district's southwestern Philadelphia suburbs, including Delaware County, carry a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and have delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Scanlon's unopposed Democratic primary victory in May 2026 and solid fundraising further reinforce her structural edge heading into the November general election. Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro faces steep headwinds in this environment. A national political shift, significant local scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings from forecasters indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,721วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. The district's southwestern Philadelphia suburbs, including Delaware County, carry a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and have delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Scanlon's unopposed Democratic primary victory in May 2026 and solid fundraising further reinforce her structural edge heading into the November general election. Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro faces steep headwinds in this environment. A national political shift, significant local scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings from forecasters indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,721วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. The district's southwestern Philadelphia suburbs, including Delaware County, carry a strongly Democratic partisan voting index and have delivered consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Scanlon's unopposed Democratic primary victory in May 2026 and solid fundraising further reinforce her structural edge heading into the November general election. Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro faces steep headwinds in this environment. A national political shift, significant local scandal, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current ratings from forecasters indicate limited realistic paths for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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