Recent polling averages place Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine among the tightest contests, with margins often under three points amid open seats in Michigan and Iowa plus vulnerable Republican incumbents in Maine and Alaska. These dynamics, combined with competitive candidate recruitment and midterm turnout patterns in battleground states, sustain trader focus on those races as the likeliest to produce the smallest victory margin. Ohio’s special election and Nebraska also draw attention due to narrow historical and current surveys. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or turnout surges in key demographics could widen gaps or elevate another state before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas 15%
Iowa 14.1%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 11%
$39,746 ปริมาณ
$39,746 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
15%
Iowa
14%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
11%
Nebraska
10%
Ohio (Special)
9%
Maine
9%
North Carolina
5%
New Hampshire
5%
Florida (Special)
3%
Virginia
3%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Minnesota
1%
Montana
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 15%
Iowa 14.1%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 11%
$39,746 ปริมาณ
$39,746 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,876 ปริมาณ
15%
Iowa
$3,287 ปริมาณ
14%
Michigan
$2,998 ปริมาณ
11%
Alaska
$7,695 ปริมาณ
11%
Nebraska
$1,564 ปริมาณ
10%
Ohio (Special)
$8,979 ปริมาณ
9%
Maine
$1,398 ปริมาณ
9%
North Carolina
$871 ปริมาณ
5%
New Hampshire
$788 ปริมาณ
5%
Florida (Special)
$253 ปริมาณ
3%
Virginia
$5,073 ปริมาณ
3%
Georgia
$824 ปริมาณ
2%
New Mexico
$160 ปริมาณ
2%
Minnesota
$1,494 ปริมาณ
1%
Montana
$1,383 ปริมาณ
1%
Colorado
$1,103 ปริมาณ
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine among the tightest contests, with margins often under three points amid open seats in Michigan and Iowa plus vulnerable Republican incumbents in Maine and Alaska. These dynamics, combined with competitive candidate recruitment and midterm turnout patterns in battleground states, sustain trader focus on those races as the likeliest to produce the smallest victory margin. Ohio’s special election and Nebraska also draw attention due to narrow historical and current surveys. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or turnout surges in key demographics could widen gaps or elevate another state before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,746วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine among the tightest contests, with margins often under three points amid open seats in Michigan and Iowa plus vulnerable Republican incumbents in Maine and Alaska. These dynamics, combined with competitive candidate recruitment and midterm turnout patterns in battleground states, sustain trader focus on those races as the likeliest to produce the smallest victory margin. Ohio’s special election and Nebraska also draw attention due to narrow historical and current surveys. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or turnout surges in key demographics could widen gaps or elevate another state before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,746วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Texas, Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine among the tightest contests, with margins often under three points amid open seats in Michigan and Iowa plus vulnerable Republican incumbents in Maine and Alaska. These dynamics, combined with competitive candidate recruitment and midterm turnout patterns in battleground states, sustain trader focus on those races as the likeliest to produce the smallest victory margin. Ohio’s special election and Nebraska also draw attention due to narrow historical and current surveys. Late-cycle polling shifts, debate performances, or turnout surges in key demographics could widen gaps or elevate another state before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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