The 2026 Senate map includes roughly a dozen races viewed as competitive by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, with seven currently rated toss-ups including Iowa, Maine, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and New Hampshire. A Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot of about 6–8 points nationally has improved Democratic positioning in pickup opportunities like North Carolina, where Roy Cooper faces Michael Whatley, and Ohio, where recent surveys show Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted. Retirements have opened seats in Michigan and New Hampshire, the latter recently shifted to toss-up status amid strong Republican candidate recruitment. Polling gains for Democrats in Texas have also tightened that contest. With the November 3 election approaching and limited time for late shifts, these races hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate-specific dynamics, and any further movement in the national environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$65,788 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
80%
Iowa
70%
Alaska
70%
Kansas
75%
Michigan
57%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Nebraska
42%
New Hampshire
37%
South Carolina
41%
North Carolina
28%
Florida (Special)
24%
Minnesota
24%
Georgia
20%
New Mexico
13%
Montana
10%
Virginia
4%
Colorado
3%
Maine
51%
$65,788 ปริมาณ
Texas
$7,420 ปริมาณ
80%
Iowa
$5,880 ปริมาณ
70%
Alaska
$2,853 ปริมาณ
70%
Kansas
$571 ปริมาณ
75%
Michigan
$3,054 ปริมาณ
57%
Ohio (Special)
$3,969 ปริมาณ
56%
Nebraska
$3,867 ปริมาณ
42%
New Hampshire
$2,422 ปริมาณ
37%
South Carolina
$109 ปริมาณ
41%
North Carolina
$5,817 ปริมาณ
28%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 ปริมาณ
24%
Minnesota
$10,399 ปริมาณ
24%
Georgia
$2,057 ปริมาณ
20%
New Mexico
$6,665 ปริมาณ
13%
Montana
$3,190 ปริมาณ
10%
Virginia
$1,344 ปริมาณ
4%
Colorado
$2,599 ปริมาณ
3%
Maine
$1,119 ปริมาณ
51%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Senate map includes roughly a dozen races viewed as competitive by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, with seven currently rated toss-ups including Iowa, Maine, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and New Hampshire. A Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot of about 6–8 points nationally has improved Democratic positioning in pickup opportunities like North Carolina, where Roy Cooper faces Michael Whatley, and Ohio, where recent surveys show Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted. Retirements have opened seats in Michigan and New Hampshire, the latter recently shifted to toss-up status amid strong Republican candidate recruitment. Polling gains for Democrats in Texas have also tightened that contest. With the November 3 election approaching and limited time for late shifts, these races hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate-specific dynamics, and any further movement in the national environment.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,788วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Senate map includes roughly a dozen races viewed as competitive by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, with seven currently rated toss-ups including Iowa, Maine, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and New Hampshire. A Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot of about 6–8 points nationally has improved Democratic positioning in pickup opportunities like North Carolina, where Roy Cooper faces Michael Whatley, and Ohio, where recent surveys show Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted. Retirements have opened seats in Michigan and New Hampshire, the latter recently shifted to toss-up status amid strong Republican candidate recruitment. Polling gains for Democrats in Texas have also tightened that contest. With the November 3 election approaching and limited time for late shifts, these races hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate-specific dynamics, and any further movement in the national environment.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,788วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Senate map includes roughly a dozen races viewed as competitive by forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, with seven currently rated toss-ups including Iowa, Maine, Ohio, Texas, Alaska, Michigan, and New Hampshire. A Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot of about 6–8 points nationally has improved Democratic positioning in pickup opportunities like North Carolina, where Roy Cooper faces Michael Whatley, and Ohio, where recent surveys show Sherrod Brown ahead of Jon Husted. Retirements have opened seats in Michigan and New Hampshire, the latter recently shifted to toss-up status amid strong Republican candidate recruitment. Polling gains for Democrats in Texas have also tightened that contest. With the November 3 election approaching and limited time for late shifts, these races hinge on turnout in battleground states, candidate-specific dynamics, and any further movement in the national environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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